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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 42.53 | $0.870 | $40.19 | +$3.19 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | Jun 29, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 42.53 |
| $0.870 |
| $37 |
| Jun 29, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?No | buy | 27.09 | $0.923 | $25 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.930 | $15 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $230 in May?No | buy | 13.95 | $0.860 | $12 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?No | buy | 47.31 | $0.930 | $44 | May 18, 2026 |
 U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?No | buy | 25.26 | $0.950 | $24 | May 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 25.32 | $0.790 | $20 | May 4, 2026 |
 Iran coup attempt by June 30?No | buy | 12.36 | $0.890 | $11 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?No | buy | 9.59 | $0.730 | $7 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.620 | $20 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 15.25 | $0.999 | $15.23 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 15.25 | $0.590 | $9 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 9.3 | $0.860 | $8 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 4.14 | $0.966 | $4 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.84 | $0.830 | $9 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.640 | $8 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced by October 31?No | buy | 22.25 | $0.899 | $20 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?Yes | buy | 30.77 | $0.650 | $20 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Solana dip to $140 in July?No | buy | 14.47 | $0.760 | $11 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?No | buy | 14.77 | $0.880 | $13 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Magic vs. CelticsCeltics | buy | 15.91 | $0.880 | $14 | Apr 16, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $60k in April?No | buy | 14.34 | $0.976 | $14 | Apr 16, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,500.00 by March 31?No | buy | 11.18 | $0.984 | $11 | Mar 26, 2025 |
 Will Solana dip to $110 in March?No | buy | 21.48 | $0.931 | $20 | Mar 26, 2025 |
| Will Solana dip to $140 by February 28 2025?No | buy | 21.05 | $0.950 | $20 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Will the market cap of $LIBRA (FDV) be between $1b and $1.5b on Feb 21?No | buy | 17.38 | $0.978 | $17 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 13.83 | $0.940 | $13 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Will Mircea Geoană win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?No | sell | 20.26 | $0.998 | $20.22 | Feb 16, 2025 |
| Will Solana hit $300 by January 31, 2025?No | buy | 30.35 | $0.659 | $20 | Jan 24, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?Yes | buy | 14.46 | $0.968 | $14 | Jan 24, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $3,000 in December?No | buy | 20.52 | $0.975 | $20 | Dec 30, 2024 |
 Ethereum above $4,000 on December 13?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.460 | $10 | Dec 12, 2024 |
| Will Mircea Geoană win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?No | buy | 20.26 | $0.987 | $20 | Dec 8, 2024 |
 Will Fulham win on 2024-12-08?No | buy | 23.62 | $0.847 | $20 | Dec 8, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in December?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.760 | $20 | Dec 8, 2024 |
 Ripple above $1.69 on December 6?Yes | buy | 25.61 | $0.820 | $21 | Dec 2, 2024 |
| Ethereum above $3,300 on November 29?Yes | buy | 24.42 | $0.983 | $24 | Nov 28, 2024 |
 Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-11-23?No | buy | 16.48 | $0.910 | $15 | Nov 21, 2024 |
 Will Elon tweet less than 200 times November 15-22?No | sell | 44 | $0.999 | $43.96 | Nov 18, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 200 times November 15-22?No | buy | 162.7 | $0.987 | $160.52 | Nov 16, 2024 |
 Will Trump tweet less than 10 times Nov 15-22?No | buy | 53.19 | $0.940 | $50 | Nov 16, 2024 |
| Ripple above $0.87 on November 22?Yes | buy | 59.52 | $0.840 | $50 | Nov 16, 2024 |
| Ethereum above $3,000 on November 15?Yes | buy | 78.52 | $0.822 | $64.57 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $76,000 on November 15?Yes | buy | 66.87 | $0.987 | $66 | Nov 13, 2024 |
| Will Trump tweet 30-39 times Nov 8-15?No | buy | 115.14 | $0.990 | $113.99 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Celtics vs. NetsCeltics | buy | 41.77 | $0.790 | $33 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| Timberwolves vs. Trail BlazersTimberwolves | buy | 42.5 | $0.800 | $34 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will Ipswich win on 2024-11-10?No | buy | 77.95 | $0.930 | $72.49 | Nov 10, 2024 |
| Wizards vs. MagicMagic | buy | 42.31 | $0.780 | $33 | Nov 10, 2024 |