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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 1.2K | $0.787 | $1.06K | +$112 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026?No | buy | 236.21 | $0.660 | $155.9 | 5d ago |
|
| No |
| 500 |
| $0.690 |
| $362.5 |
| +$17.5 |
 Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? | No | 400 | $0.520 | $354 | +$146 |
 Will Left Party (V) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes? | Yes | 645.46 | $0.409 | $290.46 | +$26.48 |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31? | No | 230.08 | $0.676 | $219.73 | +$64.27 |
 Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? | No | 200 | $0.830 | $192.7 | +$26.7 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 400 | $0.590 | $190 | -$46 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 200 | $0.520 | $105 | +$1 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 99.99 | $0.930 | $98.34 | +$5.35 |
 Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? | No | 100.1 | $0.730 | $89.59 | +$16.48 |
 Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to MP or KD? | MP | 100 | $0.500 | $86 | +$36 |
 Sweden Parliamentary Election: S Over/Under 31%? | Under | 100 | $0.560 | $81.5 | +$25.5 |
 Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? | Yes | 219.67 | $0.240 | $79.08 | +$26.41 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 602 | $0.140 | $54.18 | -$30.1 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | No | 550 | $0.420 | $45.37 | -$185.42 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | Yes | 416.95 | $0.100 | $37.53 | -$4.17 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 100 | $0.379 | $37.05 | -$0.85 |
| Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 30% and 33% of all valid votes? | Yes | 271.46 | $0.376 | $31.22 | -$70.94 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | No | 199.99 | $0.170 | $25 | -$9 |
 OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | Yes | 300 | $0.100 | $24 | -$6 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? | No | 20 | $0.540 | $19.53 | +$8.73 |
 Blue tsunami in 2026? | Yes | 38.6 | $0.280 | $16.02 | +$5.21 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 199.99 | $0.176 | $14.6 | -$20.6 |
 Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 800 | $0.013 | $12.4 | +$2 |
| buy |
| 865.11 |
| $0.865 |
| $748.32 |
| 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 620.5 | $0.790 | $490.2 | 7d ago |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.420 | $252 | 8d ago |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 400 | $0.280 | $112 | 8d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.430 | $86 | 8d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 150 | $0.212 | $31.8 | 13d ago |
| Will Left Party (V) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?Yes | buy | 245 | $0.440 | $107.8 | 16d ago |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes | sell | 800 | $0.006 | $4.8 | 16d ago |
| Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 30% and 33% of all valid votes?Yes | buy | 171.46 | $0.380 | $65.15 | 21d ago |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 100 | $0.379 | $37.9 | 22d ago |
| Will Left Party (V) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?Yes | buy | 391.54 | $0.390 | $152.7 | 23d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 199.99 | $0.170 | $34 | 23d ago |
 Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?Yes | buy | 62.2 | $0.650 | $40.43 | 23d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.306 | $12.24 | 23d ago |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.013 | $10.4 | 26d ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 500 | $0.690 | $345 | 28d ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 800 | $0.810 | $648 | 28d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 2.38K | $0.017 | $40.51 | 28d ago |
| Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?Yes | buy | 214.48 | $0.240 | $51.48 | 28d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.590 | $236 | 29d ago |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.770 | $154 | 29d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.460 | $184 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.640 | $256 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.270 | $54 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.940 | $376 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 200 | $0.750 | $150 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.560 | $224 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 600 | $0.750 | $450 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | sell | 599.99 | $0.343 | $205.82 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes | sell | 240 | $0.751 | $180.28 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.999 | $399.6 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.792 | $396.05 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?Yes | buy | 12.68 | $0.710 | $9 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.750 | $150 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?Yes | buy | 36.1 | $0.890 | $32.13 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.040 | $2 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.140 | $28 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | buy | 10.56 | $0.039 | $0.41 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.220 | $88 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by July 31?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.030 | $12 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.640 | $64 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 9.66 | $0.689 | $6.66 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?No | sell | 120 | $0.007 | $0.82 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?No | sell | 179.99 | $0.013 | $2.34 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?No | sell | 100 | $0.013 | $1.3 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?No | sell | 400 | $0.001 | $0.41 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.028 | $14 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 730.12 | $0.010 | $7.3 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.460 | $92 | Jul 9, 2026 |