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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 80.4 | $0.995 | $80 | 23d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 100.5 |
| $0.995 |
| $100 |
| 23d ago |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No | buy | 80.89 | $0.989 | $80 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 102.06 | $0.970 | $99 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 168.83 | $0.989 | $167 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?Yes | buy | 281.22 | $0.985 | $277 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 235.66 | $0.976 | $230 | May 26, 2026 |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?No | buy | 203.87 | $0.981 | $200 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?No | buy | 246.91 | $0.972 | $240 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?No | buy | 274.95 | $0.982 | $270 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on April 18?Down | buy | 151.17 | $0.991 | $149.81 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 189.54 | $0.991 | $187.83 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?Yes | buy | 173.53 | $0.980 | $170 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 255.56 | $0.900 | $230 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 2-8?No | buy | 161.78 | $0.989 | $160 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?Yes | buy | 143.59 | $0.975 | $140 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will XRP dip to $0.40 in February?No | buy | 193.81 | $0.985 | $191 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.970 | $97 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?No | buy | 228.11 | $0.986 | $225 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 161.29 | $0.930 | $150 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 January 12-18?No | buy | 249.5 | $0.994 | $248 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Bikinis back on X by January 16?No | buy | 123.37 | $0.997 | $123 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?No | buy | 363.66 | $0.995 | $362 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Fed Derivative: "No Change" flips "25bps cut" by December 9?No | buy | 184.37 | $0.998 | $184 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 9, 2025)Yes | buy | 180.9 | $0.995 | $180 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 363.91 | $0.992 | $361 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win 0 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?No | sell | 55.05 | $0.999 | $54.99 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?Down | buy | 300.6 | $0.998 | $300 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win 0 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?No | buy | 55.06 | $0.999 | $55 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in October?No | buy | 362.72 | $0.987 | $358 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will PRO hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | sell | 80.16 | $0.995 | $79.76 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk be richest person on October 31?Yes | sell | 122.57 | $0.984 | $120.61 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will Solana dip to $120 in October?No | sell | 158.39 | $0.989 | $156.65 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on October 31?Yes | buy | 122.57 | $0.979 | $120 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Solana dip to $120 in October?No | buy | 158.39 | $0.947 | $150 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will PRO hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | buy | 80.16 | $0.998 | $80 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 $YZY listed on Coinbase or Binance by September 30?No | buy | 61.6 | $0.974 | $60 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 289.86 | $0.966 | $280 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be between $3800 and $3900 on August 6?No | buy | 185.87 | $0.990 | $184 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $119K and $121K on August 6?No | buy | 150.15 | $0.999 | $150 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3400 on July 23?Yes | buy | 321.32 | $0.999 | $321 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 251.98 | $0.972 | $244.92 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2200 on July 9?No | buy | 100.75 | $0.993 | $100 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 251.99 | $0.968 | $244 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will XRP reach $4.0 in June?No | buy | 300.6 | $0.998 | $300 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2800 and $2900 on June 17?No | buy | 314.57 | $0.989 | $311 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $8000 in May?No | buy | 133.27 | $0.998 | $133 | May 9, 2025 |
 Will San Marino win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 170.73 | $0.996 | $170 | May 9, 2025 |
 Will NDP win 31 or more seats in the next Canadian Election?No | buy | 58.12 | $0.998 | $58 | Apr 12, 2025 |
 Will Google be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | buy | 150.15 | $0.999 | $150 | Apr 12, 2025 |