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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?Yes | buy | 210 | $0.210 | $44.1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.190 |
| $19 |
| Mar 2, 2026 |
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.700 | $49 | Jan 22, 2026 |
Seeker FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 105.26 | $0.998 | $105.05 | Jan 21, 2026 |
Seeker FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.760 | $80 | Jan 19, 2026 |
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 208.33 | $0.380 | $79.17 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.240 | $50 | Jan 7, 2026 |
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Jan 1, 2026 |
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Dec 31, 2025 |
Ethereum Up or Down - December 29, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETUp | buy | 11.9 | $0.420 | $5 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETUp | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Will the fight end in the Round 2?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.049 | $1.48 | Dec 20, 2025 |
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.160 | $11.2 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will the fight end in the Round 2?Yes | buy | 20.45 | $0.220 | $4.5 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will the fight end in Round 4?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will Jim Hopper die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.120 | $12 | Dec 15, 2025 |
Will Jonathan Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.240 | $12 | Dec 15, 2025 |
Will Jim Hopper die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes | buy | 20.15 | $0.060 | $1.21 | Dec 15, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.022 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?No | buy | 95.24 | $0.210 | $20 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2Usyk | buy | 34.62 | $0.780 | $27 | Jul 19, 2025 |
Boxing: Will the Usyk vs. Dubois end any other way?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.011 | $1.21 | Jul 19, 2025 |
Boxing: Will Usyk win by Decision?Yes | buy | 135.14 | $0.370 | $50 | Jul 19, 2025 |
Boxing: Will Dubois win by Decision?Yes | buy | 94.64 | $0.127 | $12 | Jul 19, 2025 |
Will Usyk beat Fury?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.550 | $49.5 | Dec 21, 2024 |
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?Yes | buy | 50.07 | $0.600 | $30.04 | Nov 15, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 263.15 | $0.055 | $14.47 | Nov 6, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 263.16 | $0.380 | $100 | Nov 5, 2024 |