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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 34 | $0.423 | $14.38 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 78 |
| $0.140 |
| $10.92 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | sell | 55 | $0.370 | $20.35 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | buy | 20.15 | $0.330 | $6.65 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No | sell | 26 | $0.930 | $24.18 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No | buy | 26 | $0.870 | $22.62 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 25 | $0.899 | $22.48 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.899 | $22.48 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No | buy | 23 | $0.961 | $22.1 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 16 | $0.740 | $11.84 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 22 | $0.959 | $21.1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 8 | $0.955 | $7.64 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.830 | $8.3 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 63 | $0.210 | $13.23 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 2 | $0.430 | $0.86 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 17 | $0.833 | $14.17 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 17 | $0.826 | $14.04 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 21 | $0.960 | $20.16 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.450 | $18 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.500 | $20 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 2 | $0.530 | $1.06 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?No | buy | 23 | $0.982 | $22.59 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No | sell | 25 | $0.979 | $24.47 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No | buy | 25 | $0.978 | $24.45 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 38 | $0.660 | $25.08 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 38 | $0.670 | $25.46 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 8 | $0.710 | $5.68 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 32 | $0.710 | $22.72 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 24 | $0.954 | $22.9 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 65 | $0.320 | $20.8 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 34 | $0.690 | $23.46 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 34 | $0.690 | $23.46 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 8 | $0.957 | $7.66 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 24 | $0.992 | $23.81 | May 31, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.270 | $6.75 | May 31, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.485 | $26.65 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 28 | $0.958 | $26.82 | May 29, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.560 | $2.8 | May 28, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 17 | $0.560 | $9.52 | May 28, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | sell | 29 | $0.920 | $26.68 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.014 | $0.36 | May 27, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 31 | $0.964 | $29.88 | May 26, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | sell | 35 | $0.837 | $29.29 | May 25, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 35 | $0.808 | $28.28 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 36 | $0.660 | $23.76 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?No | buy | 25 | $0.923 | $23.08 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 43 | $0.750 | $32.25 | May 21, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 272 | $0.953 | $259.22 | May 14, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | sell | 207 | $0.983 | $203.48 | May 14, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | buy | 264 | $0.984 | $259.78 | May 14, 2026 |