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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 57.51 | $0.053 | $4.31 | +$1.26 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 101.25 | $0.011 | $1.11 | 1d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 137.8 |
| $0.005 |
| $2.76 |
| +$2.03 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 5 | $0.340 | $1.78 | +$0.08 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the NY-11 House seat? | Yes | 20 | $0.230 | $1.3 | -$3.3 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 74.64 | $0.008 | $0.93 | +$0.32 |
| Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 108.65 | $0.037 | $0.81 | -$3.19 |
 Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? | Yes | 5 | $0.090 | $0.68 | +$0.23 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? | Yes | 5.69 | $0.117 | $0.65 | -$0.01 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 5 | $0.051 | $0.39 | +$0.14 |
 Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | Yes | 5 | $0.050 | $0.33 | +$0.08 |
 Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? | Yes | 10 | $0.160 | $0.31 | -$1.29 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 43.75 | $0.011 | $0.31 | -$0.16 |
 Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 60.09 | $0.010 | $0.27 | -$0.31 |
 Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 75 | $0.009 | $0.26 | -$0.41 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NC-12 House seat? | Yes | 5 | $0.050 | $0.14 | -$0.12 |
 Will xAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Yes | 12.01 | $0.070 | $0.1 | -$0.74 |
 Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 56.26 | $0.019 | $0.08 | -$0.98 |
 Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 5 | $0.011 | $0.08 | +$0.02 |
 Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 99.94 | $0.003 | $0.05 | -$0.25 |
 Will Mistral be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Yes | 58.79 | $0.003 | $0.03 | -$0.15 |
 Will Blake Snell win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? | Yes | 6.66 | $0.013 | $0 | -$0.08 |
| sell |
| 100 |
| $0.009 |
| $0.9 |
| 9d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | sell | 180 | $0.012 | $2.16 | 9d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | sell | 140 | $0.013 | $1.82 | 9d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.080 | $2.4 | 9d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?Yes | sell | 224 | $0.030 | $6.72 | 12d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | sell | 200.56 | $0.020 | $4.01 | 14d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | sell | 152.81 | $0.020 | $3.06 | 14d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | sell | 128.94 | $0.020 | $2.58 | 14d ago |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 52.5 | $0.080 | $4.2 | 17d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?Yes | sell | 52.49 | $0.090 | $4.72 | 19d ago |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | sell | 31.79 | $0.056 | $1.8 | 19d ago |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Yes | sell | 1.88K | $0.003 | $5.65 | 25d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 526.32 | $0.011 | $5.79 | 26d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.007 | $0.7 | 26d ago |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Yes | sell | 130 | $0.041 | $5.33 | 27d ago |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.027 | $1.63 | 28d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 68.16 | $0.017 | $1.16 | 28d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 383.68 | $0.017 | $6.52 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.01K | $0.004 | $4.02 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.005 | $2.5 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | sell | 510 | $0.022 | $11.22 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | sell | 105 | $0.060 | $6.3 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboYes | sell | 10 | $0.110 | $1.1 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | sell | 215 | $0.070 | $15.05 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | sell | 57.5 | $0.080 | $4.6 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?No | buy | 116.12 | $0.006 | $0.7 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.140 | $0.7 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes | sell | 59.23 | $0.071 | $4.21 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes | sell | 23.16 | $0.033 | $0.76 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes | sell | 53.99 | $0.033 | $1.81 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 211.25 | $0.060 | $12.69 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 7?Yes | sell | 150.53 | $0.012 | $1.81 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?Yes | sell | 67.14 | $0.011 | $0.74 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes | buy | 34.63 | $0.015 | $0.52 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes | sell | 97 | $0.016 | $1.55 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.044 | $0.48 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 690 | $0.005 | $3.45 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.009 | $0.9 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 57.66 | $0.027 | $1.56 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.008 | $0.8 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.007 | $0.7 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 110 | $0.007 | $0.77 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.007 | $4.2 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 110 | $0.007 | $0.77 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?Yes | sell | 13.98 | $0.220 | $3.08 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes | buy | 6.7 | $0.610 | $4.09 | Jun 28, 2026 |