Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 218.82 | $0.914 | $200 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 211.27 |
| $0.710 |
| $150 |
| Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?Yes | sell | 24.85 | $0.240 | $5.96 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?Yes | buy | 104.17 | $0.480 | $50 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-04?Yes | buy | 59.64 | $0.838 | $50 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?Yes | buy | 24.86 | $0.630 | $15.66 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 19.58 | $0.800 | $15.66 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 19.59 | $0.700 | $13.71 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.240 | $40 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 170.33 | $0.936 | $159.43 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 33.21 | $0.937 | $31.12 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 33.21 | $0.843 | $28 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?Yes | sell | 73.17 | $0.930 | $68.05 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in October?Yes | buy | 14.46 | $0.830 | $12 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%?Yes | buy | 128.21 | $0.780 | $100 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?No | buy | 100 | $0.890 | $89 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?Yes | buy | 73.17 | $0.820 | $60 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 60.97 | $0.828 | $50.47 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 124.72 | $0.790 | $98.53 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 UK sanctions on Russia by October 31?No | buy | 9.73 | $0.730 | $7.11 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $112k in October?No | buy | 140.85 | $0.710 | $100 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $112k in October?No | buy | 76.83 | $0.770 | $59.16 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $116,000 October 6-12?No | buy | 54.95 | $0.910 | $50 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?Yes | buy | 14.9 | $0.480 | $7.15 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $108k in October?No | buy | 117.65 | $0.850 | $100 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 117.75 | $0.849 | $100 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 113.12 | $0.884 | $100 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 116.28 | $0.860 | $100 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 8.44 | $0.860 | $7.26 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Aster all time high by December 31?Yes | buy | 63.29 | $0.790 | $50 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 60.98 | $0.820 | $50 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be 4000000 or more?Yes | sell | 81.74 | $0.352 | $28.74 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be 4000000 or more?Yes | buy | 81.74 | $0.734 | $60 | Oct 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Russia Russia Russia Hoax" in October?No | buy | 65.24 | $0.766 | $50 | Oct 5, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $126k in October?Yes | buy | 75.12 | $0.750 | $56.34 | Oct 4, 2025 |
| buy | 21.6 | $0.741 | $16 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 16.03 | $0.736 | $11.8 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 Will JD Vance say "Crap" or "Shit" during remarks in NC on September 24?No | buy | 11.76 | $0.680 | $8 | Sep 24, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 57.21 | $0.874 | $50 | Sep 24, 2025 |