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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 132 | $0.993 | $131.14 | +$0.07 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $30-$40 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 24 – Aug 28?No | buy | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | 17d ago |
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| buy |
| 130 |
| $0.987 |
| $128.31 |
| Jul 15, 2026 |
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of July 6 above $40?Yes | buy | 128 | $0.999 | $127.87 | Jul 7, 2026 |
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 128 | $0.997 | $127.62 | Jun 27, 2026 |
Netanyahu out by June 30?No | buy | 128 | $0.994 | $127.23 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 128 | $0.989 | $126.59 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Netanyahu out by June 30?No | sell | 129 | $0.978 | $126.16 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Netanyahu out by June 30?No | buy | 129 | $0.969 | $125 | May 26, 2026 |
Netanyahu out by May 31?No | sell | 126 | $0.995 | $125.37 | May 26, 2026 |
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of May 4 above $110?No | buy | 45 | $0.999 | $44.96 | May 8, 2026 |
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of May 4 above $110?No | buy | 80 | $0.998 | $79.84 | May 8, 2026 |
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No | sell | 127 | $0.980 | $124.46 | May 8, 2026 |
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$50 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 30 – Apr 3?No | buy | 122 | $0.999 | $121.88 | Apr 2, 2026 |
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 March 16-22?No | buy | 121 | $0.999 | $120.88 | Mar 22, 2026 |
Trump out as President by March 31?No | sell | 122 | $0.991 | $120.9 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?No | buy | 120 | $0.999 | $119.88 | Mar 4, 2026 |
Will Solana dip to $20 in February?No | buy | 120 | $0.995 | $119.4 | Feb 18, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?No | buy | 119 | $0.999 | $118.88 | Feb 13, 2026 |
Trump out as President by March 31?No | sell | 122 | $0.977 | $119.19 | Feb 13, 2026 |
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$1.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?No | buy | 118 | $0.998 | $117.76 | Feb 3, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?No | buy | 117 | $0.999 | $116.88 | Jan 25, 2026 |
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of January 19 above $520?No | buy | 100 | $0.998 | $99.8 | Jan 20, 2026 |
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $50-$60 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 12 – Jan 16?No | buy | 117 | $0.999 | $116.88 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?No | buy | 117 | $0.999 | $116.88 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?No | buy | 68 | $0.996 | $67.73 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$1.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 5 – Jan 9?No | buy | 49 | $0.980 | $48.02 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will Opendoor reach $13 in December?No | buy | 116 | $0.996 | $115.54 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 115 | $0.997 | $114.66 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 115 | $0.995 | $114.43 | Dec 21, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.999 | $9.99 | Dec 15, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No | buy | 29 | $0.999 | $28.97 | Dec 15, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No | buy | 23 | $0.999 | $22.98 | Dec 15, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No | buy | 28 | $0.999 | $27.97 | Dec 15, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No | buy | 25 | $0.999 | $24.98 | Dec 15, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?No | buy | 33 | $0.995 | $32.84 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?No | buy | 82 | $0.969 | $79.46 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?No | buy | 20 | $0.995 | $19.9 | Dec 1, 2025 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?No | buy | 60 | $0.995 | $59.7 | Dec 1, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?No | buy | 32 | $0.998 | $31.94 | Dec 1, 2025 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?No | buy | 111 | $0.995 | $110.45 | Nov 22, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?No | buy | 30 | $0.999 | $29.97 | Nov 18, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?No | buy | 81 | $0.999 | $80.92 | Nov 18, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?No | buy | 110 | $0.999 | $109.89 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will BigFuture School be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?No | buy | 119 | $0.999 | $118.88 | Nov 6, 2025 |
Will Anthropic’s Claude 4.5 Sonnet win the NOF1.ai competition?No | buy | 116 | $0.992 | $115.07 | Nov 2, 2025 |