Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.044 | $1.32 | Mar 16, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 29.99 |
| $0.034 |
| $1.02 |
| Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.095 | $2.84 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.100 | $3 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.031 | $4.7 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.045 | $6.69 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.092 | $13.82 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.100 | $15 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 96.19 | $0.947 | $91.09 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster EditionNo | buy | 96 | $0.070 | $6.69 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 78 | $0.940 | $73.32 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will the price of Solana be less than $160 on November 3?Yes | buy | 323 | $0.016 | $5.17 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.037 | $0.63 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 323.56 | $0.160 | $51.77 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 82.79 | $0.036 | $2.98 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 100.5 | $0.200 | $20.1 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 499.4 | $0.041 | $20.48 | Sep 24, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 99.58 | $0.830 | $82.65 | Sep 24, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 192 | $0.140 | $26.88 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 333 | $0.049 | $16.21 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 225.33 | $0.060 | $13.52 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Fed rate cut in 2025?Yes | buy | 226 | $0.930 | $210.18 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will Putin remain President of Russia through June?Yes | buy | 1.7 | $0.987 | $1.68 | May 25, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be less than 5%?Yes | buy | 222 | $0.060 | $13.32 | May 25, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | buy | 222 | $0.930 | $206.5 | May 25, 2025 |
 Will the next Government of Canada be led by another party or coalition?No | buy | 4.5 | $0.998 | $4.49 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?No | buy | 217 | $0.774 | $167.96 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative majority?Yes | buy | 217 | $0.054 | $11.79 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative minority?Yes | buy | 217 | $0.150 | $32.55 | Apr 28, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?No | buy | 216.78 | $0.998 | $216.35 | Mar 11, 2025 |
 Will SPD win the most seats in the next German election?No | buy | 216.35 | $0.999 | $216.13 | Feb 9, 2025 |
 TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?Yes | buy | 216.13 | $0.987 | $213.32 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?No | buy | 213.32 | $0.987 | $210.55 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 Crystal Palace wins the Premier League?Yes | buy | 52K | $0.004 | $208 | Nov 10, 2024 |
 Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | buy | 87.92 | $0.998 | $87.74 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.708 | $4.96 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Will a candidate from another party win Colorado Presidential Election?No | buy | 122.63 | $0.999 | $122.51 | Oct 7, 2024 |
 Will Hillary Clinton win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 61.25K | $0.002 | $122.5 | Oct 7, 2024 |
 Will a candidate from another party win Virginia Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 1.79 | $0.001 | $0 | Oct 7, 2024 |
 Will a candidate from another party win Nevada Presidential Election?No | sell | 26.27 | $0.996 | $26.16 | Oct 7, 2024 |
 Will the Dolphins win Super Bowl 2025?No | sell | 16.51 | $0.994 | $16.41 | Oct 7, 2024 |
 Will the Bears win Super Bowl 2025?No | sell | 30.86 | $0.975 | $30.09 | Oct 7, 2024 |
 Will the Raiders win Super Bowl 2025?No | sell | 50.2 | $0.993 | $49.85 | Oct 7, 2024 |
| Will a candidate from another party win Nevada Presidential Election?No | buy | 26.27 | $0.998 | $26.22 | Sep 24, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.749 | $26.22 | Sep 24, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 158.93 | $0.768 | $122.06 | Sep 22, 2024 |
 Will 'Despicable Me 4' gross most in 2024?No | sell | 122.43 | $0.997 | $122.06 | Sep 22, 2024 |
| Will 'Despicable Me 4' gross most in 2024?No | buy | 122.43 | $0.999 | $122.31 | Sep 19, 2024 |
 Will any other Democrat Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 30K | $0.004 | $120 | Sep 17, 2024 |