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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 4.61 | $0.820 | $4.19 | +$0.41 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?No | buy | 5.07 | $0.908 | $4.6 | Jun 24, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 20 |
| $0.250 |
| $2.95 |
| -$2.05 |
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | Yes | 1.17 | $0.670 | $1.03 | +$0.25 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 1 | $0.690 | $0.84 | +$0.16 |
Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election? | No | 4.38 | $0.220 | $0.7 | -$0.26 |
Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | No | 0.66 | $0.790 | $0.54 | +$0.02 |
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF? | No | 0.96 | $0.530 | $0.5 | -$0 |
Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | Yes | 0.5 | $0.770 | $0.46 | +$0.07 |
Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | No | 0.47 | $0.426 | $0.42 | +$0.22 |
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? | No | 0.46 | $0.349 | $0.29 | +$0.13 |
Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 0-5%? | Yes | 1 | $0.305 | $0.26 | -$0.04 |
Will Al Lawson win the Tallahassee mayoral election? | No | 0.25 | $0.714 | $0.25 | +$0.07 |
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 0.59 | $0.430 | $0.25 | -$0.01 |
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | No | 0.24 | $0.660 | $0.22 | +$0.06 |
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 0.49 | $0.650 | $0.21 | -$0.11 |
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 0.35 | $0.540 | $0.2 | +$0.01 |
Will the US federal government take a stake in IonQ, Inc.? | Yes | 1.27 | $0.210 | $0.2 | -$0.07 |
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? | No | 0.66 | $0.480 | $0.18 | -$0.13 |
Will Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 0.4 | $0.510 | $0.17 | -$0.03 |
Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 10-15%? | Yes | 1 | $0.340 | $0.16 | -$0.17 |
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.94 | $0.320 | $0.16 | -$0.14 |
Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 0-5%? | Yes | 0.47 | $0.320 | $0.14 | -$0.01 |
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | No | 0.35 | $0.430 | $0.13 | -$0.02 |
Will the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? | Yes | 0.8 | $0.360 | $0.12 | -$0.17 |
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | No | 0.34 | $0.550 | $0.12 | -$0.07 |
| sell |
| 9 |
| $0.010 |
| $0.09 |
| Jun 19, 2026 |
Will Mark Zuckerberg buy the Seattle Seahawks?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.011 | $0.05 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Prymorske by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 19 | $0.010 | $0.19 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 27?No | sell | 20 | $0.010 | $0.2 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.030 | $0.24 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes | sell | 19 | $0.018 | $0.33 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will Veneziano Vital do Rêgo win the Governor of Paraíba election?Yes | sell | 29 | $0.014 | $0.41 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will Fred M'membe win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.021 | $0.42 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will Felipe Camarão win the Governor of Maranhão election?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.017 | $0.36 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.010 | $0.2 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.032 | $0.48 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will four or more people dissent the July Fed decision?Yes | sell | 19 | $0.011 | $0.21 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will King Abdullah II attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.012 | $0.48 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.089 | $0.44 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will voter turnout be 64%+ in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.018 | $0.36 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will Marco Rubio attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.010 | $0.4 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will Mohammed bin Salman attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.011 | $0.46 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 50 | $0.012 | $0.6 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will King Abdullah II sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.014 | $0.7 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will Kuwait sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.010 | $0.5 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will two people dissent the July Fed decision?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.023 | $0.45 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will the National Party win 45-49 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.031 | $0.37 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in June?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.013 | $0.67 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will ACT New Zealand win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.012 | $0.5 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.015 | $0.75 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.220 | $1.1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will Yan Diomande stay at RB Leipzig?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.023 | $0.46 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 15% or more?Yes | sell | 43 | $0.050 | $2.15 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Stavky by July 31?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.080 | $2.8 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will Casemiro join Al-Nassr?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.014 | $0.27 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will Arnaldinho Borgo win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.019 | $0.38 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company?No | sell | 15 | $0.800 | $12 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 1.09K | $0.016 | $17.39 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 3.57K | $0.015 | $53.57 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?No | sell | 175 | $0.490 | $85.75 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?No | sell | 143 | $0.691 | $98.8 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will JD Vance attend NATO Summit?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.070 | $0.49 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.060 | $0.48 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.030 | $0.6 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Yes | sell | 11.2 | $0.050 | $0.56 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.027 | $0.54 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will Syria sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in June 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes | sell | 33 | $0.030 | $0.99 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |