Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan"?Yes | sell | 17.14 | $0.020 | $0.34 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 62.5 |
| $0.016 |
| $1 |
| Nov 4, 2025 |
 US forces in Venezuela by November 30?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.140 | $4 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?Yes | buy | 21.05 | $0.190 | $4 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.590 | $8.85 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on November 12?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.200 | $3 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on November 12?Yes | buy | 20.29 | $0.059 | $1.2 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on October 30?No | buy | 115.67 | $0.009 | $1 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?Yes | buy | 25.21 | $0.119 | $3 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan"?Yes | buy | 17.14 | $0.140 | $2.4 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Lewis Hamilton finish fourth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.075 | $1.5 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.025 | $2 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on October 23?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.070 | $7 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on October 23?No | sell | 31.25 | $0.740 | $23.13 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October meeting?Yes | buy | 50.05 | $0.028 | $1.4 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.044 | $3.3 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on October 23?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Oct 23, 2025 |