Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?No | buy | 3.12 | $0.963 | $3 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 3.11 |
| $0.965 |
| $3 |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 30% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?Yes | buy | 3.16 | $0.950 | $3 | Nov 8, 2025 |
| Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1600 on LMArena by December 31?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.960 | $3 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Le Pen sentence reduced in 2025?No | sell | 3.02 | $0.977 | $2.95 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump publicly disparage Netanyahu by October 31?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.990 | $3 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by October 31No | buy | 3.19 | $0.940 | $3 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Macron out by October 31, 2025?No | buy | 2.92 | $0.992 | $2.9 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Le Pen sentence reduced in 2025?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.991 | $3 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 NBA Finals: Will any game go to overtime?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| NBA Finals: Will any player record a triple double?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| More Points in NBA Finals: Siakam vs. WilliamsWilliams | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Will Chet Holmgren record the most total rebounds in the NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| NBA Finals: Thunder to win game 4 and the series?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| NBA Finals G7: Half Time/Full TimeYes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 Canada tariffs on China in effect before July?No | sell | 1.16 | $0.964 | $1.12 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 Will Xi visit the US before September?No | sell | 1.19 | $0.920 | $1.09 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 China bans US films before July?No | sell | 1.11 | $0.989 | $1.1 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?No | sell | 1.34 | $0.800 | $1.07 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping before August?No | sell | 1.14 | $0.860 | $0.98 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit China before September?No | sell | 1.08 | $0.890 | $0.96 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Canada tariffs on China in effect before July?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.942 | $1.1 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| China bans US films before July?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.989 | $1.1 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?No | buy | 1.34 | $0.820 | $1.1 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| Will Xi visit the US before September?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.920 | $1.1 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping before August?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump visit China before September?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Gavin Newsom out as California Governor in 2025?No | sell | 1.06 | $0.910 | $0.96 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Gavin Newsom recalled before July?No | sell | 1 | $0.985 | $0.99 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before July?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.955 | $0.99 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?No | sell | 1.26 | $0.860 | $1.08 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before July?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Gavin Newsom out as California Governor in 2025?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Gavin Newsom recalled before July?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit Los Angeles by Friday?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump declare martial law in LA by Friday?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.66 | $0.844 | $1.4 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 U.S. enacts AI safety bill in 2025?No | sell | 1.82 | $0.837 | $1.52 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| U.S. enacts AI safety bill in 2025?No | buy | 1.83 | $0.821 | $1.5 | May 7, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.66 | $0.901 | $1.5 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on May 31?No | buy | 1.55 | $0.970 | $1.5 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI acquire Windsurf before August?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.989 | $1.5 | May 7, 2025 |
 US military action on Yemen before June?No | buy | 1.65 | $0.910 | $1.5 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 2.06 | $0.705 | $1.45 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by over 12%?No | sell | 2.04 | $0.998 | $2.04 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?No | sell | 2.46 | $0.830 | $2.04 | May 7, 2025 |
| Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?No | buy | 2.47 | $0.810 | $2 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get <20m views on day 1?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.960 | $2 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by over 12%?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.979 | $2 | Apr 19, 2025 |