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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 36.59 | $0.820 | $34.39 | +$4.39 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Artemis II launch by April 30?No | buy | 55.65 | $0.090 | $5 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 83.33 |
| $0.120 |
| $6.21 |
| -$3.79 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | No | 84.17 | $0.475 | $1.56 | -$38.44 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again? | Yes | 13.89 | $0.360 | $0.9 | -$4.1 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 6.86 | $0.700 | $0.62 | -$4.18 |
| buy |
| 132.15 |
| $0.189 |
| $25 |
| Mar 10, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETUp | buy | 15.88 | $0.612 | $9.72 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETUp | buy | 13.43 | $0.730 | $9.81 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETDown | buy | 13.21 | $0.368 | $4.86 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETDown | buy | 726.35 | $0.017 | $12.62 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETDown | sell | 45.81 | $0.679 | $31.09 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETDown | buy | 45.11 | $0.430 | $19.4 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETUp | buy | 35.74 | $0.542 | $19.38 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:25AM-5:30AM ETUp | buy | 133.25 | $0.149 | $19.84 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?No | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on February 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 31.73 | $0.473 | $15 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 24.1 | $0.830 | $20 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will the DHS shutdown end between February 24-27, 2026?Yes | buy | 95.24 | $0.210 | $20 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes | buy | 41.19 | $0.850 | $35 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.030 | $5 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 80.99 | $0.037 | $3 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 36.59 | $0.820 | $30 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 161.29 | $0.031 | $5 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 35.29 | $0.850 | $30 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 63.61 | $0.472 | $30 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.440 | $5 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 55.79 | $0.448 | $25 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 North Korea missile launch by February 28?Yes | buy | 23.73 | $0.421 | $10 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 98.14 | $0.051 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 54.05 | $0.955 | $51.64 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 58.27 | $0.429 | $25 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.480 | $20 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?No | buy | 42.5 | $0.471 | $20 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 55.21 | $0.453 | $25 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 79.74 | $0.999 | $79.66 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 45.91 | $0.065 | $3 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will Ryan Binkley be the Republican Nominee for TX-32?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.125 | $2 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 54.05 | $0.370 | $20 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.680 | $20 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 21.05 | $0.380 | $8 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?Yes | buy | 27.27 | $0.110 | $3 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | buy | 54.05 | $0.740 | $40 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 12.77 | $0.995 | $12.71 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?No | sell | 6.25 | $0.004 | $0.03 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 60.61 | $0.330 | $20 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 205.43 | $0.097 | $20 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 270 | $0.100 | $27 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.300 | $20 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 44.21 | $0.090 | $4 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Government shutdown on Saturday?No | sell | 208.36 | $0.842 | $175.44 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Feb 14, 2026 |