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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 807.58 | $0.870 | $129.21 | -$573.38 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 152.4 | $0.200 | $30.48 | 4d ago |
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026?Yes| sell |
| 890 |
| $0.944 |
| $840.41 |
| 8d ago |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 890 | $0.960 | $854.4 | 9d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 150 | $0.999 | $149.85 | 9d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 931.91 | $0.732 | $682 | 13d ago |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETDown | buy | 3.06K | $0.351 | $1.08K | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETDown | sell | 1.12K | $0.990 | $1.1K | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETDown | buy | 1.12K | $0.951 | $1.06K | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETUp | sell | 339.06 | $0.990 | $335.67 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETUp | buy | 338.15 | $0.882 | $298.38 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ETDown | buy | 772.26 | $0.898 | $693.87 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:40PM-9:45PM ETUp | buy | 696.18 | $0.938 | $653.03 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ETUp | sell | 654.79 | $0.999 | $654.14 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ETUp | buy | 653.95 | $0.922 | $602.96 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ETDown | sell | 610.65 | $0.990 | $604.54 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ETDown | buy | 610.17 | $0.940 | $573.56 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 680.11 | $0.845 | $574.4 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 120 | $0.850 | $102 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 104.47 | $0.866 | $90.47 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.988 | $74.12 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?No | sell | 207.24 | $0.988 | $204.8 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?No | buy | 133.09 | $0.870 | $115.79 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?No | buy | 100 | $0.870 | $87 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Solana Up or Down - February 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETDown | buy | 29.76 | $0.850 | $25.29 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 688 | $0.726 | $499.75 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?No | sell | 40 | $0.980 | $39.2 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?No | sell | 20 | $0.991 | $19.83 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?No | sell | 170 | $0.994 | $168.98 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?No | buy | 20 | $0.975 | $19.5 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?No | buy | 40 | $0.963 | $38.5 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?No | buy | 170 | $0.969 | $164.7 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 330 | $0.300 | $99 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | sell | 650 | $0.986 | $640.8 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?No | sell | 76.05 | $0.991 | $75.37 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?No | sell | 115.16 | $0.992 | $114.25 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?No | sell | 464.99 | $0.991 | $460.98 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale?No | sell | 220 | $0.992 | $218.24 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?No | sell | 250 | $0.910 | $227.5 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 4?No | sell | 400 | $0.991 | $396.31 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Solana all time high before 2026?No | sell | 199.99 | $0.999 | $199.79 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETUp | sell | 232.56 | $0.990 | $230.23 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETUp | buy | 232.56 | $0.980 | $227.91 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No | sell | 224 | $0.997 | $223.33 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ETDown | buy | 17 | $0.050 | $0.85 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ETDown | sell | 100 | $0.063 | $6.27 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.170 | $17 | Oct 12, 2025 |