Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 38.57 | $0.350 | $30.95 | +$17.45 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay RaysTampa Bay Rays | buy | 31.67 | $0.600 | $19 | 29d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 47.17 |
| $0.212 |
| $11.2 |
| +$1.2 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 52.08 | $0.480 | $10.16 | -$14.84 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 17.47 | $0.518 | $9.52 | +$0.47 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 40 | $0.600 | $8.2 | -$15.8 |
 Natural Disaster in 2026? | Yes | 38.74 | $0.372 | $7.55 | -$6.85 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 8.79 | $0.455 | $6.9 | +$2.9 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 7.06 | $0.708 | $6.71 | +$1.71 |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6.55 | $0.420 | $6.44 | +$3.69 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 19.3 | $0.518 | $5.5 | -$4.5 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 63.25 | $0.470 | $4.74 | -$25.02 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 20.41 | $0.490 | $4.18 | -$5.82 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 19.45 | $0.414 | $2.82 | -$5.23 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 5.56 | $0.540 | $2.69 | -$0.31 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | Yes | 16.67 | $0.120 | $2.25 | +$0.25 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 11.76 | $0.340 | $1.94 | -$2.06 |
 Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 18.87 | $0.185 | $1.9 | -$1.6 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 8.24 | $0.850 | $1.77 | -$5.23 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 6.12 | $0.490 | $1.38 | -$1.62 |
 Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? | Yes | 5 | $0.500 | $1.15 | -$1.35 |
 Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 166.67 | $0.012 | $0.83 | -$1.17 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 13.24 | $0.170 | $0.5 | -$1.75 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 11.54 | $0.260 | $0.43 | -$2.57 |
 Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 153.85 | $0.013 | $0.23 | -$1.77 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 4.55 | $0.440 | $0.1 | -$1.9 |
| buy |
| 14.08 |
| $0.380 |
| $5.35 |
| Aug 10, 2026 |
 Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami MarlinsMiami Marlins | buy | 10.17 | $0.590 | $6 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Athletics vs. Boston Red SoxBoston Red Sox | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)New York Yankees | buy | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season AND Rainbow Six Siege: FURIA Esports vs Geekay Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B | buy | 7.99 | $0.364 | $2.91 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates AND Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees AND Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals AND Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies | buy | 46.66 | $0.091 | $4.26 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.24 | $0.850 | $7 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.600 | $24 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 38.57 | $0.350 | $13.5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August?Yes | buy | 9.98 | $0.802 | $8 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Natural Disaster in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.240 | $2.4 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.55 | $0.420 | $2.75 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.490 | $10 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 17.47 | $0.518 | $9.05 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh PiratesPittsburgh Pirates | buy | 8.77 | $0.570 | $5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5Over | buy | 6.52 | $0.460 | $3 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Over | buy | 5.45 | $0.550 | $3 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Over | buy | 5.77 | $0.520 | $3 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | buy | 35.79 | $0.447 | $16 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati RedsPittsburgh Pirates | buy | 16.67 | $0.540 | $9 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| New York Yankees vs. Chicago CubsNew York Yankees | buy | 7.32 | $0.410 | $3 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Yes | buy | 18.49 | $0.811 | $15 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?Yes | buy | 13.54 | $0.370 | $5.01 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Balance Sheet" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.860 | $2 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Restrictive" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 4.9 | $0.580 | $2.84 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Oil" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 16.54 | $0.754 | $12.47 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?Yes | buy | 9.78 | $0.537 | $5.25 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 14.38 | $0.742 | $10.67 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?No | buy | 18.48 | $0.541 | $10 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?No | sell | 21.21 | $0.995 | $21.1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.12 | $0.490 | $3 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 UFC Fight Night: Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Prelims)Sam Patterson | buy | 3.53 | $0.850 | $3 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Seokhyeon Ko (Welterweight, Prelims)Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani | buy | 8.33 | $0.360 | $3 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Jared Cannonier vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)Jared Cannonier | buy | 12 | $0.250 | $3 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Natural Disaster in 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?Yes | buy | 39.12 | $0.147 | $5.75 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.120 | $2 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 16.28 | $0.422 | $6.87 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Zcash reach $800 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.92 | $0.480 | $3.32 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.480 | $15 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.24 | $0.330 | $3.05 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 8.79 | $0.455 | $4 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5Over | buy | 28.54 | $0.540 | $15.41 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 AND Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5 AND Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5 | buy | 31.98 | $0.152 | $4.87 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.180 | $3 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Over | buy | 28.85 | $0.520 | $15 | Jun 5, 2026 |