Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.002 | $1.2 | Jul 2, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 6.7K |
| $0.002 |
| $13.4 |
| Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 20K | $0.002 | $40 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.002 | $20 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3K | $0.150 | $450 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.160 | $480 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.150 | $2.5 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?Yes | sell | 9.3 | $0.490 | $4.56 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)No | sell | 16.66 | $0.230 | $3.83 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?Yes | sell | 6.41 | $0.700 | $4.49 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?No | sell | 35.71 | $0.150 | $5.36 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?No | sell | 35.71 | $0.150 | $5.36 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes | sell | 45.45 | $0.090 | $4.09 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | sell | 7.93 | $0.620 | $4.92 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?No | sell | 33.33 | $0.220 | $7.33 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will Ohio State win the 2026 College Football National Championship?Yes | sell | 20.55 | $0.320 | $6.58 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 480m and 520m by January 31?Yes | sell | 406.87 | $0.040 | $16.27 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | sell | 1.08K | $0.005 | $5.32 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 76.92 | $0.233 | $17.89 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 1.08K | $0.009 | $10 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.260 | $20 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 480m and 520m by January 31?Yes | buy | 406.87 | $0.049 | $20 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?Yes | buy | 9.3 | $0.430 | $4 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 23m?Yes | buy | 5.41 | $0.740 | $4 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?Yes | sell | 81.25 | $0.190 | $15.44 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 4.54 | $0.660 | $3 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 5.58 | $0.889 | $4.96 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?Yes | sell | 22.77 | $0.380 | $8.65 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 7.24 | $0.700 | $5.07 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Epstein client list released by June 30?Yes | sell | 18.18 | $0.430 | $7.82 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?No | sell | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.300 | $3.75 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Rockets vs. LakersLakers | sell | 10.63 | $0.430 | $4.57 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Suns vs. PelicansSuns | sell | 7.14 | $0.630 | $4.5 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 December 22-28?Yes | sell | 19.6 | $0.170 | $3.33 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 26?No | sell | 25.64 | $0.070 | $1.79 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 December 22-28?Yes | sell | 27.77 | $0.080 | $2.22 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 22-28?No | sell | 5.55 | $0.981 | $5.44 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Lighter Airdrop on December 29?Yes | sell | 11.76 | $0.790 | $9.29 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 December 22-28?Yes | sell | 12.7 | $0.360 | $4.57 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 5.79 | $0.690 | $4 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?No | sell | 7.11 | $0.750 | $5.33 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?Yes | sell | 11.9 | $0.480 | $5.71 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?Yes | sell | 19.03 | $0.726 | $13.82 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Suns vs. PelicansSuns | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?No | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?Yes | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,100 December 22-28?No | sell | 13.15 | $0.820 | $10.78 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 25?No | sell | 13.03 | $0.890 | $11.6 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.420 | $5 | Dec 25, 2025 |