Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.995 | $4.99 | Nov 18, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 5.02 |
| $0.995 |
| $4.99 |
| Nov 16, 2025 |
 Trump confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.997 | $4.99 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 3?Yes | buy | 8.01 | $0.994 | $7.96 | Nov 2, 2025 |
 Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.993 | $4.97 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 46.49 | $0.930 | $43.24 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 45.51 | $0.890 | $40.5 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 0.92 | $0.940 | $0.86 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 88 | $0.940 | $82.72 | Oct 5, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 88.93 | $0.950 | $84.48 | Sep 27, 2025 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by March 31?No | sell | 31.44 | $0.991 | $31.16 | Mar 29, 2025 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by March 31?No | buy | 12.13 | $0.979 | $11.88 | Jan 8, 2025 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by March 31?No | buy | 13.21 | $0.974 | $12.87 | Jan 8, 2025 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by March 31?No | buy | 6.1 | $0.974 | $5.94 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 Will Nancy Pelosi attend presidential inauguration?No | sell | 3.16 | $0.140 | $0.44 | Jan 8, 2025 |
| Will Nancy Pelosi attend presidential inauguration?No | buy | 3.17 | $0.890 | $2.82 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.12 | $0.973 | $6.93 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?No | sell | 9 | $0.958 | $8.62 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?No | sell | 18 | $0.952 | $17.14 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 US GDP declines in Q3 2024?Yes | buy | 387.14 | $0.021 | $8.13 | Oct 12, 2024 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?No | sell | 7.05 | $0.962 | $6.78 | Oct 12, 2024 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?No | buy | 20.42 | $0.960 | $19.6 | Oct 8, 2024 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.960 | $0.98 | Oct 8, 2024 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?No | buy | 3.07 | $0.959 | $2.94 | Oct 7, 2024 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?No | buy | 0.51 | $0.958 | $0.49 | Oct 7, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 50.18 | $0.509 | $25.54 | Oct 7, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5.09 | $0.540 | $2.75 | Aug 2, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5.09 | $0.540 | $2.75 | Aug 2, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.550 | $11 | Aug 1, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.550 | $11 | Aug 1, 2024 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?No | buy | 10 | $0.910 | $9.1 | Aug 1, 2024 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?No | buy | 10 | $0.910 | $9.1 | Jul 31, 2024 |