Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 34.65 | $0.865 | $24.95 | -$5.04 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 84.75 | $0.118 | $10 | Apr 7, 2026 |
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| No |
| 6.44 |
| $0.777 |
| $4.89 |
| -$0.11 |
| buy |
| 5K |
| $0.001 |
| $5 |
| Mar 19, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes | buy | 52.38 | $0.210 | $11 | Mar 7, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.370 | $10 | Mar 7, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | Mar 7, 2026 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.810 | $40.5 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.400 | $20 | Mar 2, 2026 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?Down | sell | 20.83 | $0.998 | $20.79 | Mar 2, 2026 |
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?No | buy | 12.96 | $0.772 | $10 | Mar 1, 2026 |
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 3?Yes | buy | 22.42 | $0.446 | $10 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 79.05 | $0.001 | $0.08 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Khamenei seen in public by March 7?Yes | buy | 66.43 | $0.602 | $40 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will "Apple Watch" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?Yes | buy | 25.18 | $0.794 | $20 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will "Siri" be said 5+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will "CarPlay" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?Yes | buy | 14.17 | $0.353 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 79.05 | $0.506 | $40 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 6.44 | $0.777 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel | buy | 6.67 | $0.717 | $4.78 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?US | sell | 16.94 | $0.282 | $4.78 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes | buy | 34.65 | $0.865 | $29.99 | Feb 27, 2026 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?Down | buy | 20.83 | $0.480 | $10 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?US | buy | 16.95 | $0.590 | $10 | Feb 27, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.350 | $50 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?No | buy | 247 | $0.020 | $4.94 | Feb 27, 2026 |