Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Argentina in July?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.320 | $6.4 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 231.9 |
| $0.038 |
| $8.81 |
| Jul 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Australia in July?Yes | sell | 100.08 | $0.125 | $12.48 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will David Sacks be the next CEO of X?Yes | sell | 525.95 | $0.023 | $12.16 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes | sell | 334 | $0.060 | $20.04 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?Yes | sell | 160 | $0.210 | $33.6 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration in 2025?Yes | sell | 324 | $0.180 | $58.32 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?No | sell | 105.56 | $0.602 | $63.54 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Israel in July?Yes | sell | 187.75 | $0.359 | $67.37 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran in July?No | sell | 99.99 | $0.850 | $84.99 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 12% and 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Yes | sell | 132.3 | $0.850 | $112.46 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.440 | $659.82 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump release more Epstein files before August?No | sell | 979.89 | $0.935 | $915.8 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?No | sell | 1.56K | $0.911 | $1.42K | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | sell | 6.5K | $0.250 | $1.62K | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the July meeting?Yes | sell | 3.56K | $0.971 | $3.46K | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump release more Epstein files before August?No | buy | 5 | $0.933 | $4.67 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump release more Epstein files before August?No | buy | 5 | $0.932 | $4.66 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.460 | $230 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump release more Epstein files before August?No | buy | 30.01 | $0.935 | $28.06 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Australia in July?Yes | sell | 76 | $0.140 | $10.64 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?No | buy | 101 | $0.947 | $95.65 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?No | buy | 40 | $0.946 | $37.84 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?No | buy | 44.7 | $0.945 | $42.24 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?No | buy | 79.72 | $0.940 | $74.93 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Wimbledon Final – Alcaraz vs. SinnerAlcaraz | sell | 25 | $0.100 | $2.5 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| Wimbledon Final – Alcaraz vs. SinnerAlcaraz | buy | 100 | $0.490 | $49 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the July meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.985 | $492.5 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the July meeting?Yes | buy | 13.21 | $0.984 | $13 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the July meeting?Yes | buy | 9.99 | $0.983 | $9.82 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.420 | $42 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.410 | $2.28 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?No | sell | 21.28 | $0.550 | $11.7 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 360 | $0.260 | $93.6 | Jul 12, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 95.48 | $0.490 | $46.79 | Jul 12, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Israel in July?Yes | sell | 71.25 | $0.380 | $27.08 | Jul 12, 2025 |
| Will Trump release more Epstein files before August?No | buy | 322 | $0.920 | $296.24 | Jul 12, 2025 |
| Will Trump release more Epstein files before August?No | buy | 72.82 | $0.919 | $66.92 | Jul 12, 2025 |
| Wimbledon: Sinner vs. DjokovicDjokovic | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Wimbledon: Sinner vs. DjokovicDjokovic | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Wimbledon: Sinner vs. DjokovicDjokovic | buy | 100 | $0.140 | $14 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 4–11?Yes | buy | 212.87 | $0.986 | $209.89 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Argentina in July?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.450 | $22.5 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 4–11?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.960 | $9.6 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 4–11?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.970 | $970 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 4–11?Yes | buy | 837.4 | $0.960 | $803.9 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?No | buy | 282.38 | $0.885 | $250 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Will David Sacks be the next CEO of X?Yes | buy | 569.99 | $0.011 | $6.24 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Will no CEO be announced in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.220 | $22 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 4–11?Yes | sell | 425.44 | $0.027 | $11.49 | Jul 10, 2025 |