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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August? | Yes | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2.24 | +$0.24 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2 | 22h ago |
 |
| No |
| 2.7 |
| $0.740 |
| $1.93 |
| -$0.07 |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting? | No | 6.25 | $0.320 | $1.88 | -$0.13 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? | No | 2.67 | $0.750 | $1.87 | -$0.13 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 3.23 | $0.620 | $1.79 | -$0.21 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | No | 3.17 | $0.630 | $1.41 | -$0.59 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | Yes | 7.69 | $0.260 | $0.96 | -$1.04 |
 Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31? | Yes | 7.14 | $0.280 | $0.02 | -$1.98 |
| buy |
| 7.69 |
| $0.260 |
| $2 |
| 23h ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | 1d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | 1d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.740 | $2 | 2d ago |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No | buy | 3.17 | $0.630 | $2 | 6d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | 6d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?No | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | 7d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.620 | $2 | 7d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.460 | $2 | 7d ago |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 Week of August 31 2026?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.600 | $2 | 8d ago |
 Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.740 | $2 | 8d ago |
 Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in August?No | buy | 2.86 | $0.700 | $2 | 17d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | 17d ago |
 Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | 17d ago |
 Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in August?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | 18d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | 19d ago |
| Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | 19d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | 19d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.640 | $2 | 20d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?No | buy | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2 | 20d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | 21d ago |
 Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | 21d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | 24d ago |
 Will Williams-Sonoma (WSM) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | 24d ago |
 Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?No | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | 25d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | 25d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2 | 25d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | 26d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | 26d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | 26d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | 27d ago |
 Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during remarks in New York?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2 | 27d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | 27d ago |
 Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | 28d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | 29d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?No | buy | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?Yes | buy | 3.63 | $0.460 | $1.67 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5?Down | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?No | buy | 2.86 | $0.700 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 4.44 | $0.450 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?No | buy | 5.71 | $0.350 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?No | buy | 3.64 | $0.550 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.41 | $0.370 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.77 | $0.530 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.71 | $0.350 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |