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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.997 | $1.35 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.32 |
| $0.997 |
| $1.32 |
| Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.990 | $1.25 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.928 | $1.23 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.900 | $1.23 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.998 | $1.23 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.998 | $1.33 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.997 | $1.13 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.993 | $1.2 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.982 | $2 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.997 | $1.74 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?No | buy | 1.63 | $0.997 | $1.63 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?No | buy | 1.38 | $0.995 | $1.37 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 1.31 | $0.980 | $1.28 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the third-best AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.68 | $0.998 | $1.68 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the third-best AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.53 | $0.999 | $1.53 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Z.ai have the third-best AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.987 | $1.54 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the third-best AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.975 | $1.43 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 1.29 | $0.955 | $1.23 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Ethereum Up or Down on December 15?Up | buy | 3.92 | $0.510 | $2 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?No | buy | 1.66 | $0.992 | $1.65 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?No | buy | 1.83 | $0.985 | $1.8 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Larry Ellison be richest person on October 31?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.995 | $1.78 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk be richest person on October 31?Yes | buy | 2.12 | $0.995 | $2.11 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model on October 31?No | sell | 2.25 | $0.997 | $2.24 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 2.25 | $0.976 | $2.2 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?No | buy | 2.35 | $0.997 | $2.34 | Sep 22, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 3.37 | $0.988 | $3.33 | Sep 22, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.995 | $1.78 | Sep 22, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.993 | $2.2 | Sep 22, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?Yes | buy | 3.97 | $0.982 | $3.9 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.31 | $0.995 | $1.3 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.930 | $2.8 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?No | buy | 3.61 | $0.941 | $3.4 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 3.63 | $0.964 | $3.5 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 4.15 | $0.964 | $4 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran by Sunday?No | buy | 5 | $0.880 | $4.4 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran by Saturday?No | buy | 5.5 | $0.950 | $5.23 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 5.4 | $0.984 | $5.31 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 5.2 | $0.955 | $4.97 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?No | buy | 5.07 | $0.986 | $5 | May 27, 2025 |
 Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.077 | $9.56 | May 10, 2025 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | sell | 5.68 | $0.982 | $5.58 | Apr 12, 2025 |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 5.69 | $0.967 | $5.5 | Mar 18, 2025 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 3.85K | $0.338 | $1.3K | Oct 30, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win New York Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 6.17 | $0.962 | $5.94 | Oct 30, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.95K | $0.664 | $1.3K | Oct 30, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win New York Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 6.18 | $0.971 | $6 | Oct 30, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 36.07 | $0.539 | $19.44 | Oct 12, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 36.07 | $0.555 | $20.02 | Oct 11, 2024 |