Analytics
Profile detail last fetched 1h ago. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | Yes | 21.92 | $0.591 | $5.03 | -$7.92 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Yes | buy | 21.92 | $0.591 | $12.95 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 13.2 |
| $0.750 |
| $9.9 |
| May 30, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?No | buy | 9.9 | $0.940 | $9.31 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes | buy | 9.68 | $0.310 | $3 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 13.64 | $0.220 | $3 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 11.54 | $0.260 | $3 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETUp | buy | 4.86 | $0.400 | $1.94 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.998 | $19.96 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.700 | $14 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETUp | buy | 3.19 | $0.610 | $1.94 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETUp | buy | 5.9 | $0.840 | $4.95 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.064 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.022 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?Yes | sell | 3.95 | $0.260 | $1.03 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on January 23, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.024 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 22, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.999 | $15.98 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.750 | $12 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?Yes | buy | 3.95 | $0.253 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETDown | sell | 7.07 | $0.180 | $1.27 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETDown | buy | 7 | $0.280 | $1.96 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 20, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 124.54 | $0.003 | $0.37 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 19, 2026?No | buy | 36.3 | $0.551 | $20 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on January 20, 2026?No | sell | 53.27 | $0.630 | $33.58 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on January 20, 2026?No | buy | 24.29 | $0.700 | $17 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on January 20, 2026?No | buy | 28.99 | $0.690 | $20 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 20, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 19, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 18, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 89.79 | $0.011 | $1 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 78.46 | $0.011 | $0.88 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran first?US | sell | 14.7 | $0.620 | $9.11 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?No | sell | 25 | $0.934 | $23.36 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 22, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.024 | $1.2 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 18, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 35.71 | $0.034 | $1.22 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 21, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.023 | $1.44 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 78.46 | $0.013 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 45.02 | $0.022 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 30.01 | $0.033 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 22, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 21, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 20, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.021 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 19, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.027 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 18, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.028 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 13.68 | $0.073 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.046 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |