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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 1.97 | $0.950 | $1.87 | Aug 12, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes| buy |
| 1.5 |
| $0.985 |
| $1.48 |
| Jul 18, 2026 |
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.995 | $1.17 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 2.28 | $0.998 | $2.28 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will Jordan win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.987 | $1.12 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on May 19?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.997 | $1.07 | May 18, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the May Meeting?Yes | buy | 2.23 | $0.976 | $2.18 | May 18, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 4.67 | $0.900 | $4.2 | May 18, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 26°C on April 13?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.999 | $1.27 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Will the People's Bank of China not change rates in April?Yes | buy | 2.2 | $0.969 | $2.13 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.920 | $4.38 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Will Alberto Di Rubba win the 2026 Rovigo by-election?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.960 | $1.3 | Mar 15, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 2.71 | $0.887 | $2.4 | Mar 15, 2026 |
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?No | buy | 4.11 | $0.998 | $4.1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
Will DtMF - Bad Bunny be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.972 | $1.23 | Feb 9, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 3.16 | $0.664 | $2.1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?No | buy | 10.2 | $0.997 | $10.17 | Feb 9, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 1.24 | $0.968 | $1.2 | Jan 6, 2026 |
Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETUp | buy | 50 | $0.960 | $48 | Jan 6, 2026 |
Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETDown | buy | 200 | $0.900 | $180 | Jan 6, 2026 |
Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETUp | buy | 200 | $0.419 | $83.87 | Jan 6, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 6?Yes | buy | 817.18 | $0.996 | $813.91 | Jan 6, 2026 |
Ethereum Up or Down - January 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETUp | buy | 11.34 | $0.800 | $9.07 | Jan 6, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 December 22-28?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.999 | $1.3 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 28?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.999 | $1.1 | Dec 28, 2025 |