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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30? | No | 747 | $0.979 | $726.83 | -$4.46 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | buy | 450 | $0.950 | $427.5 | 2h ago |
 |
| No |
| 800 |
| $0.850 |
| $724 |
| +$44 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? | No | 764 | $0.950 | $721.98 | -$3.82 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? | No | 700 | $0.880 | $658 | +$42 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 701 | $0.870 | $606.37 | -$3.51 |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting? | No | 623 | $0.974 | $606.18 | -$0.67 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | No | 580 | $0.973 | $576.23 | +$11.89 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | No | 544 | $0.976 | $537.2 | +$6.33 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 509 | $0.972 | $500.09 | +$5.45 |
 Iran leadership change by September 30? | No | 500 | $0.973 | $488.5 | +$1.8 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 500 | $0.920 | $487.5 | +$27.5 |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 500 | $0.954 | $485.75 | +$8.75 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? | No | 500 | $0.963 | $485.75 | +$4.25 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? | No | 500 | $0.960 | $484.25 | +$4.25 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 480 | $0.955 | $464.4 | +$6 |
 Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | Yes | 436 | $0.984 | $431.86 | +$2.67 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | No | 450 | $0.950 | $425.25 | -$2.25 |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | No | 400 | $0.989 | $395.6 | +$0 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | No | 400 | $0.930 | $368 | -$4 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30? | No | 315 | $0.985 | $308.54 | -$1.6 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15? | No | 300 | $0.978 | $297.45 | +$4.05 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | No | 300 | $0.988 | $297.15 | +$0.75 |
 Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30? | No | 305.99 | $0.945 | $270.8 | -$18.47 |
 US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30? | No | 271 | $0.980 | $263.14 | -$2.44 |
 Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election? | Yes | 300 | $0.940 | $261 | -$21 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.972 |
| $97.2 |
| 2h ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?No | buy | 764 | $0.950 | $725.8 | 2h ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 57 | $0.971 | $55.35 | 2h ago |
| Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.975 | $4.88 | 3d ago |
| US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?No | buy | 271 | $0.980 | $265.58 | 3d ago |
 Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?No | buy | 50 | $0.950 | $47.5 | 3d ago |
 Will Efraim Filho win the Governor of Paraíba election?No | buy | 30 | $0.950 | $28.5 | 3d ago |
 Will Cícero Lucena win the Governor of Paraíba election?No | buy | 20 | $0.950 | $19 | 3d ago |
 Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.951 | $47.55 | 3d ago |
 Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.927 | $46.34 | 3d ago |
 Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.930 | $46.5 | 3d ago |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.963 | $96.3 | 3d ago |
 Will Daylight launch a token by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.986 | $29.58 | 3d ago |
 Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.978 | $48.9 | 3d ago |
 Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.987 | $49.35 | 3d ago |
 Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.980 | $49.02 | 3d ago |
 Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $536,000 and $542,000 on September 30?No | buy | 68 | $0.943 | $64.12 | 3d ago |
| Will the median home value in the US be between $433,000 and $440,000 on September 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.986 | $9.86 | 3d ago |
| Will the median home value in the US be between $426,000 and $433,000 on September 30?No | buy | 49 | $0.948 | $46.45 | 3d ago |
 Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by September 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.940 | $47 | 3d ago |
 No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 79.99 | $0.988 | $79.03 | 3d ago |
| No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.987 | $29.61 | 3d ago |
 Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 7 | $0.961 | $6.73 | 3d ago |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 50 | $0.941 | $47.05 | 3d ago |
 Will Michael Walther win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?No | buy | 50 | $0.934 | $46.69 | 3d ago |
 Will “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.940 | $70.5 | 3d ago |
| Will Connor Storrie – “Saturday Night Live” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?No | buy | 50 | $0.928 | $46.4 | 3d ago |
| Will Tal Anderson – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series?No | buy | 10 | $0.985 | $9.85 | 3d ago |
| Will Tina Ivlev – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series?No | buy | 9 | $0.975 | $8.78 | 3d ago |
 Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?No | buy | 46 | $0.977 | $44.94 | 3d ago |
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?No | buy | 60 | $0.976 | $58.56 | 3d ago |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?No | buy | 400 | $0.963 | $385.2 | 3d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.930 | $372 | 3d ago |
 Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting?No | buy | 45 | $0.980 | $44.1 | 3d ago |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 400 | $0.989 | $395.6 | 3d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?No | buy | 197 | $0.975 | $192.08 | 3d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?No | buy | 200 | $0.975 | $195 | 3d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?No | buy | 10 | $0.974 | $9.74 | 3d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?No | buy | 86 | $0.973 | $83.68 | 3d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?No | buy | 30 | $0.972 | $29.16 | 3d ago |
 Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.964 | $240.99 | 3d ago |
 Will AfD win 34-37 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?No | buy | 500 | $0.924 | $462 | 3d ago |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?No | buy | 260 | $0.986 | $256.26 | 5d ago |
| Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.940 | $282 | 7d ago |
 Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?No | buy | 110 | $0.937 | $103.07 | 7d ago |
| Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?No | buy | 742 | $0.979 | $726.42 | 7d ago |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?No | buy | 200 | $0.971 | $194.2 | 7d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | buy | 480 | $0.955 | $458.4 | 7d ago |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 500 | $0.954 | $477 | 7d ago |