Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?Yes | sell | 14.38 | $0.130 | $1.87 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 6.17 |
| $0.630 |
| $3.89 |
| Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 68.18 | $0.178 | $12.14 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 142.73 | $0.249 | $35.55 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 70.6 | $0.368 | $25.98 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 47.61 | $0.360 | $17.14 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?Yes | sell | 40.24 | $0.002 | $0.08 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 41.96 | $0.030 | $1.26 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 48.57 | $0.350 | $17 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026?No | sell | 8.77 | $0.845 | $7.41 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.003 | $3 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 41.97 | $0.238 | $10 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?Yes | sell | 9.61 | $0.999 | $9.6 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?Yes | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?Yes | sell | 8.62 | $0.978 | $8.43 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 13.51 | $0.990 | $13.37 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 6.02 | $0.960 | $5.78 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.105 | $5 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.440 | $5 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?Yes | buy | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?Yes | buy | 3.98 | $0.251 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Jonathan Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.410 | $5 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?Yes | buy | 14.38 | $0.348 | $5 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 1.67K | $0.006 | $10 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?No | buy | 8.77 | $0.570 | $5 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| AI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 5.27 | $0.949 | $5 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Games Total: O/U 2.5Under | buy | 6.85 | $0.730 | $5 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs paiN (BO3)paiN | buy | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs paiN - Map 2 WinnerpaiN | buy | 6.85 | $0.730 | $5 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 Will the government shutdown end November 14?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.043 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Will the government shutdown end November 12?No | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Will the government shutdown end November 13?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?Yes | sell | 27.77 | $0.045 | $1.25 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.024 | $5 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Will Lando Norris finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?No | sell | 10.25 | $0.870 | $8.92 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-11-08?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-11-08?Yes | buy | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-08?Yes | buy | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-08?Yes | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?Yes | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?Yes | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will West Ham win on 2025-11-08?Yes | buy | 7.84 | $0.510 | $4 | Nov 7, 2025 |