Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran full airspace closure by July 24?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.888 | $1.33K | Jul 23, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 1.4K |
| $0.714 |
| $1K |
| Jul 23, 2026 |
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?No | buy | 601 | $0.927 | $557.13 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.055 | $55 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.031 | $77.85 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | sell | 1.2K | $0.090 | $108 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Yes | sell | 800 | $0.153 | $122.1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.159 | $238.77 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.459 | $367 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.354 | $884.85 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.408 | $489.17 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.236 | $471.24 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31?No | sell | 900 | $0.710 | $639 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31?No | buy | 3K | $0.820 | $2.46K | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 4K | $0.988 | $3.95K | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 3?No | buy | 5K | $0.008 | $40 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 2?No | buy | 1.44K | $0.017 | $24.22 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 100K | $0.001 | $100 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Claude Code Commits be between 700.0k and 750.0k on June 30?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.120 | $119.78 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Claude Code Commits be between 650.0k and 700.0k on June 30?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.063 | $94.78 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 750 | $0.012 | $9.2 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes | sell | 7.37 | $0.170 | $1.25 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?Yes | sell | 334.73 | $0.030 | $10.04 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.04K | $0.780 | $807.56 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.47K | $0.080 | $197.56 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?Yes | sell | 3K | $0.948 | $2.85K | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes | buy | 1.28K | $0.470 | $603.48 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes | buy | 357.39 | $0.460 | $164.4 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.430 | $30.1 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.240 | $24 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.250 | $25 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.120 | $12 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.180 | $18 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.795 | $795.07 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No | buy | 1K | $0.920 | $920 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Yes | sell | 3K | $0.130 | $390.5 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.720 | $72 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.320 | $32 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.830 | $83 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.860 | $86 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.120 | $360 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.728 | $2.18K | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?No | sell | 500 | $0.985 | $492.5 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 5K | $0.530 | $2.65K | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?Yes | buy | 66.28 | $0.150 | $9.94 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 3K | $0.710 | $2.13K | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 264.95 | $0.510 | $135.12 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.300 | $300 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.200 | $100 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 11K | $0.026 | $281.94 | May 29, 2026 |