Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" or "Bitcoin" during RNC Convention? | No | 9.72K | $0.950 | $9.35K | +$111.63 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Autism" during RNC Convention (Night 1)?No | buy | 100 | $0.800 | $80 | 48m ago |
|
| Yes |
| 5.53K |
| $0.798 |
| $4.89K |
| +$477.97 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026? | No | 4.59K | $0.994 | $4.59K | +$20.67 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510? | No | 3.65K | $0.804 | $3.27K | +$331.42 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? | No | 2.61K | $0.920 | $2.53K | +$122.89 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" or "Bitcoin" during RNC Convention (Night 1)? | No | 2.5K | $0.910 | $2.31K | +$37.5 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500? | No | 2.81K | $0.713 | $2.21K | +$202.8 |
| Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention? | Yes | 2.42K | $0.903 | $1.59K | -$601.57 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | No | 1.59K | $0.957 | $1.58K | +$56.27 |
| Will Trump say "Ass" during RNC Convention (Night 1)? | No | 1.52K | $0.883 | $1.33K | -$19.7 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | Yes | 2.31K | $0.250 | $1.05K | +$474.11 |
 Will Catherine O'Hara be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year? | No | 1.01K | $0.907 | $997.83 | +$81.7 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | No | 2.11K | $0.133 | $852.98 | +$573.75 |
| Will Trump say "Democrat" or "Dumocrat" or "Dumbocrat" 25+ times during RNC Convention? | No | 909.71 | $0.610 | $823.29 | +$268.36 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | Yes | 1.24K | $0.630 | $707.11 | -$74.43 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 1.6K | $0.602 | $703.03 | -$258.77 |
| Will Trump say "Secret Service" during RNC Convention? | No | 809.99 | $0.765 | $652.04 | +$32.25 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | 906.82 | $0.810 | $621.17 | -$113.35 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480? | No | 1.35K | $0.323 | $566.09 | +$130.39 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | No | 597.53 | $0.933 | $558.09 | +$0.47 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | No | 571.95 | $0.825 | $520.76 | +$48.98 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 2.13K | $0.168 | $467.93 | +$110.56 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during RNC Convention? | No | 545.62 | $0.696 | $450.14 | +$70.45 |
| Will Trump say "Autism" during RNC Convention (Night 1)? | No | 550.11 | $0.845 | $440.09 | -$24.81 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490? | No | 629.79 | $0.464 | $431.4 | +$139.21 |
| buy |
| 584.99 |
| $0.889 |
| $520.34 |
| 48m ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 2.24K | $0.472 | $1.05K | 2h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 2.31K | $0.250 | $577.95 | 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 795 | $0.650 | $516.75 | 2h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 181.2 | $0.720 | $130.46 | 2h ago |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during RNC Convention (Night 1)?No | buy | 250 | $0.520 | $130 | 3h ago |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during RNC Convention (Night 1)?No | buy | 201 | $0.500 | $100.5 | 3h ago |
| Will Trump say "Ass" during RNC Convention (Night 1)?No | buy | 300 | $0.930 | $279 | 3h ago |
| Will Trump say "Ass" during RNC Convention (Night 1)?No | buy | 638 | $0.855 | $545.36 | 3h ago |
| Will Trump say "Autism" during RNC Convention (Night 1)?No | buy | 450.11 | $0.855 | $384.9 | 3h ago |
| Will Trump say "Gay" during RNC Convention (Night 1)?No | buy | 347 | $0.880 | $305.31 | 3h ago |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during RNC Convention (Night 1)?No | buy | 201 | $0.500 | $100.5 | 3h ago |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during RNC Convention (Night 1)?No | buy | 251 | $0.474 | $118.98 | 3h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.560 | $56 | 3h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 3.85K | $0.723 | $2.79K | 3h ago |
| Will Trump say "Ass" during RNC Convention?No | buy | 340 | $0.838 | $285 | 23h ago |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during RNC Convention?No | buy | 20 | $0.690 | $13.8 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump say "Secret Service" during RNC Convention?No | buy | 809.99 | $0.765 | $619.79 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 1.41K | $0.679 | $959.45 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention?No | buy | 180 | $0.449 | $80.8 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump say "Autism" during RNC Convention?No | buy | 369.98 | $0.838 | $309.88 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during RNC Convention?No | buy | 290 | $0.771 | $223.6 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during RNC Convention?No | buy | 253.32 | $0.699 | $177.12 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during RNC Convention?No | buy | 1K | $0.695 | $696.77 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during RNC Convention?No | buy | 280 | $0.668 | $186.95 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump say "Endorse" or "Endorsed" or "Endorsement" during RNC Convention?No | buy | 140 | $0.380 | $53.2 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 16.24 | $0.660 | $10.72 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 184.6 | $0.660 | $121.84 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" or "Bitcoin" during RNC Convention?No | buy | 6.91K | $0.962 | $6.65K | 1d ago |
| Will Trump say "Gay" during RNC Convention?No | buy | 51.1 | $0.820 | $41.9 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump say "Gay" during RNC Convention?No | buy | 365.82 | $0.810 | $296.26 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during RNC Convention?No | buy | 102 | $0.586 | $59.75 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump say "No Tax on Tips" during RNC Convention?No | buy | 660.73 | $0.128 | $84.77 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?No | buy | 124.79 | $0.198 | $24.71 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?No | buy | 401 | $0.113 | $45.31 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention?No | buy | 426.88 | $0.143 | $61.19 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention?Yes | buy | 1.18K | $0.916 | $1.08K | 1d ago |
| Will Trump say "Gay" during RNC Convention?No | buy | 42.75 | $0.635 | $27.13 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.430 | $2.15K | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.430 | $2.15 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 2.22K | $0.571 | $1.27K | 1d ago |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Yes | buy | 14.8K | $0.015 | $223.65 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention?Yes | buy | 625.63 | $0.905 | $566.39 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during RNC Convention?Yes | buy | 250.19 | $0.364 | $90.97 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?No | sell | 3K | $0.896 | $2.69K | 1d ago |
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.99K | $0.159 | $2.07K | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No | sell | 6.67K | $0.730 | $4.87K | 1d ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 65.32 | $0.760 | $49.64 | 1d ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 326.31 | $0.770 | $251.26 | 1d ago |