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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | May 16, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 21.05 |
| $0.950 |
| $20 |
| May 16, 2026 |
Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 21.51 | $0.930 | $20 | May 16, 2026 |
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 23.53 | $0.850 | $20 | May 16, 2026 |
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.870 | $15 | May 16, 2026 |
Will Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.720 | $10 | May 16, 2026 |
Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes | buy | 12.35 | $0.810 | $10 | May 10, 2026 |
Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | May 10, 2026 |
Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes | buy | 20.12 | $0.994 | $20 | May 10, 2026 |
Will Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes | buy | 20.16 | $0.992 | $20 | May 10, 2026 |
Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes | buy | 30.61 | $0.980 | $30 | May 10, 2026 |
Will Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | May 10, 2026 |
Will the US next strike Iran on February 25, 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 20.22 | $0.989 | $20 | Feb 25, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 22.47 | $0.890 | $20 | Feb 25, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?No | buy | 20.58 | $0.972 | $20 | Feb 25, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No | buy | 21.05 | $0.950 | $20 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will ZachXBT release his investigation on February 25?No | buy | 20.16 | $0.992 | $20 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 20.1 | $0.995 | $20 | Feb 23, 2026 |
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 18, 2026?No | buy | 50.64 | $0.998 | $50.54 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 8, 2026?No | buy | 107.11 | $0.927 | $99.31 | Feb 8, 2026 |
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 8, 2026?No | buy | 43.43 | $0.921 | $40 | Feb 8, 2026 |
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 24, 2026?No | buy | 44.5 | $0.957 | $42.61 | Jan 24, 2026 |
Will the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 42.61 | $0.979 | $41.72 | Jan 16, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 42.55 | $0.940 | $40 | Jan 16, 2026 |
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?No | buy | 52.26 | $0.957 | $50 | Jan 16, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?No | buy | 21.28 | $0.940 | $20 | Jan 12, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?No | buy | 61.6 | $0.974 | $60 | Jan 12, 2026 |
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 12, 2026?No | buy | 23.26 | $0.860 | $20 | Jan 12, 2026 |
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No | buy | 125.58 | $0.943 | $118.42 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Next US strike on Syria on December 15?No | buy | 20.7 | $0.966 | $20 | Dec 14, 2025 |
Next US strike on Syria on December 14?No | buy | 40.61 | $0.985 | $40 | Dec 14, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 12?Yes | buy | 20.06 | $0.997 | $20 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on December 12?Yes | buy | 20.02 | $0.999 | $20 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.520 | $20 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | buy | 44.44 | $0.450 | $20 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 47°F or higher on November 28?No | buy | 118.57 | $0.999 | $118.45 | Nov 28, 2025 |
North Korea missile launch by November 15?No | buy | 118.45 | $0.986 | $116.85 | Nov 14, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?No | buy | 116.85 | $0.956 | $111.76 | Nov 6, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?No | buy | 111.76 | $0.975 | $108.95 | Nov 1, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?No | buy | 108.95 | $0.960 | $104.59 | Oct 17, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?No | buy | 104.59 | $0.982 | $102.71 | Oct 12, 2025 |
Will Taylor Swift say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Tonight Show on October 6?No | buy | 102.71 | $0.992 | $101.89 | Oct 4, 2025 |
Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds by September 30?No | buy | 101.89 | $0.998 | $101.69 | Sep 28, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?No | buy | 101.69 | $0.997 | $101.38 | Sep 14, 2025 |
Will Trump’s approval rating be 45.0–45.4% on September 12?No | buy | 101.38 | $0.997 | $101.08 | Sep 10, 2025 |
Will Apple launch an iPad Air on September 9?No | buy | 101.08 | $0.990 | $100.07 | Sep 7, 2025 |
MetaMask airdrop in Q3 2025?No | sell | 20.44 | $0.983 | $20.09 | Sep 6, 2025 |
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by August 31?No | buy | 79.98 | $0.992 | $79.34 | Aug 26, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Peanut" this week?No | buy | 79.34 | $0.999 | $79.26 | Aug 24, 2025 |