Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? | No | 31 | $0.438 | $25.73 | +$12.16 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed abolished before 2027?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.057 | $2.28 | 18d ago |
 |
| No |
| 10 |
| $0.710 |
| $8 |
| +$0.9 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 7 | $0.320 | $5.81 | +$3.57 |
 Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? | No | 7.01 | $0.240 | $5.12 | +$3.43 |
 Reya FDV above $400M one day after launch? | Yes | 62 | $0.070 | $4.9 | +$0.56 |
 Will Trump pardon Roger Ver before 2027? | Yes | 33 | $0.180 | $4.13 | -$1.81 |
 Will the Republicans win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 87 | $0.070 | $3.09 | -$3 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? | Yes | 16 | $0.469 | $2.64 | -$4.86 |
 StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch? | Yes | 44.63 | $0.085 | $2.45 | -$1.34 |
 SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? | Yes | 5 | $0.447 | $1.83 | -$0.41 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2026? | Yes | 5.42 | $0.280 | $1.08 | -$0.43 |
 Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | No | 4.22 | $0.364 | $1.03 | -$0.5 |
| Fed abolished before 2027? | Yes | 40 | $0.057 | $0.78 | -$1.5 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027? | Yes | 4.71 | $0.172 | $0.59 | -$0.22 |
 Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? | Yes | 3 | $0.230 | $0.54 | -$0.15 |
 Fetterman out by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 12.6 | $0.230 | $0.45 | -$2.44 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | Yes | 9.01 | $0.220 | $0.42 | -$1.56 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Oman in 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.100 | $0.25 | -$0.25 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | Yes | 2.9 | $0.160 | $0.13 | -$0.33 |
 Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? | No | 0.91 | $0.210 | $0.08 | -$0.11 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027? | Yes | 0.79 | $0.110 | $0.04 | -$0.04 |
 Kraken IPO closing market cap above $18B? | Yes | 0.99 | $0.180 | $0.04 | -$0.14 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026? | Yes | 0.25 | $0.122 | $0.02 | -$0.01 |
| sell |
| 40 |
| $0.045 |
| $1.8 |
| 18d ago |
| Will Brian Bengs win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.051 | $2.02 | 18d ago |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.189 | $1.13 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.201 | $1.21 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.192 | $1.15 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.206 | $1.24 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.114 | $1.6 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.070 | $1.47 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.070 | $1.47 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.070 | $1.47 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.273 | $1.37 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.320 | $1.6 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.250 | $1.5 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.250 | $1.5 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.100 | $0.7 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.100 | $1.7 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.110 | $1.43 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.120 | $1.56 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.207 | $1.45 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.070 | $0.7 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.080 | $0.8 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.090 | $1.44 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.100 | $1.6 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?No | sell | 13 | $0.110 | $1.43 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?No | buy | 13 | $0.120 | $1.56 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.150 | $1.5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.160 | $1.6 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.200 | $1.4 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.150 | $1.5 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.160 | $1.6 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.157 | $1.41 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.166 | $1.49 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.310 | $1.55 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.320 | $1.6 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.42 | $0.280 | $1.52 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 31 | $0.050 | $1.55 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 31 | $0.060 | $1.86 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | sell | 17 | $0.090 | $1.53 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.150 | $1.65 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.100 | $1.7 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.160 | $1.76 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.200 | $1.8 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.220 | $1.98 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.220 | $1.98 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 8 | $0.210 | $1.68 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.220 | $1.76 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.320 | $1.92 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.310 | $1.86 | Jul 10, 2026 |