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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 120.37 | $0.840 | $105.32 | +$4.25 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 14.38 | $0.880 | $12.65 | 10h ago |
|
| No |
| 65.74 |
| $0.951 |
| $64.23 |
| +$1.68 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 64.96 | $0.960 | $63.95 | +$1.59 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 51.04 | $0.694 | $48.36 | +$12.92 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 50 | $0.940 | $46.25 | -$0.75 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 50 | $0.870 | $45.75 | +$2.25 |
 Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 45.81 | $0.969 | $45.42 | +$1.05 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 54.48 | $0.800 | $43.31 | -$0.27 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 51.57 | $0.916 | $43.01 | -$4.23 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 51.31 | $0.906 | $41.82 | -$4.67 |
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 39.24 | $0.783 | $32.77 | +$2.03 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 15.8 | $0.984 | $15.47 | -$0.08 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 33.97 | $0.383 | $11.94 | -$1.07 |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 11 | $0.909 | $10.61 | +$0.61 |
 Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 10.28 | $0.964 | $10.07 | +$0.16 |
 Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary? | No | 10.04 | $0.992 | $9.87 | -$0.09 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 10.2 | $0.850 | $9.43 | +$0.76 |
 Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 10.23 | $0.860 | $9.36 | +$0.56 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 7.93 | $0.659 | $5.75 | +$0.52 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 39.53 | $0.300 | $5.73 | -$6.13 |
 Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5.06 | +$0.06 |
 Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 5.07 | $0.938 | $4.64 | -$0.11 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31? | Yes | 15.87 | $0.630 | $3.73 | -$6.27 |
 Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 111.15 | $0.037 | $3.28 | -$0.88 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 5 | $0.640 | $2.63 | -$0.58 |
| buy |
| 5.11 |
| $0.880 |
| $4.5 |
| 10h ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 5.12 | $0.904 | $4.63 | 18h ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 7.11 | $0.912 | $6.48 | 21h ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.910 | $4.59 | 22h ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 5.07 | $0.905 | $4.59 | 22h ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 5.46 | $0.800 | $4.37 | 22h ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 5.46 | $0.800 | $4.37 | 22h ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 27.5 | $0.800 | $22 | 22h ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 16.05 | $0.800 | $12.84 | 22h ago |
| Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 5 | $0.986 | $4.93 | 1d ago |
| Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 9.05 | $0.985 | $8.91 | 1d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 5 | $0.690 | $3.45 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.320 | $1.6 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 7.55 | $0.680 | $5.13 | 3d ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 8.11 | $0.984 | $7.98 | 3d ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.984 | $7.57 | 3d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 13.7 | $0.910 | $12.47 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 5.93 | $0.680 | $4.03 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 5.91 | $0.680 | $4.02 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.660 | $3.97 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 5.91 | $0.660 | $3.9 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 14.74 | $0.610 | $8.99 | 4d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 12.33 | $0.910 | $11.22 | 4d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 5.04 | $0.910 | $4.59 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.870 | $43.5 | 4d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.940 | $47 | 4d ago |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 29.17 | $0.036 | $1.05 | 4d ago |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 29.17 | $0.036 | $1.05 | 4d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 15.13 | $0.900 | $13.62 | 4d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 5.1 | $0.900 | $4.59 | 4d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 7.85 | $0.930 | $7.3 | 4d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.930 | $4.7 | 4d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.07 | $0.938 | $4.75 | 6d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | buy | 28.86 | $0.960 | $27.71 | 7d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.960 | $4.9 | 7d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 7.57 | $0.986 | $7.46 | 7d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.986 | $4.99 | 7d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.982 | $4.91 | 7d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 5.08 | $0.983 | $4.99 | 7d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 5.08 | $0.983 | $4.99 | 7d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 5.08 | $0.983 | $4.99 | 7d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 5.08 | $0.983 | $4.99 | 7d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 5.08 | $0.983 | $4.99 | 7d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 5.08 | $0.983 | $4.99 | 7d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 11.22 | $0.917 | $10.29 | 7d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.914 | $4.66 | 7d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.978 | $4.99 | 7d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 5.09 | $0.980 | $4.99 | 7d ago |