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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 9.66 | $0.932 | $9.28 | +$0.28 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 3.6K | $0.988 | $3.56K | May 18, 2026 |
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| No |
| 5.68 |
| $0.880 |
| $5.43 |
| +$0.43 |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? | No | 4.04 | $0.990 | $3.98 | -$0.02 |
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 3.22 | $0.931 | $3.22 | +$0.22 |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027? | No | 3.03 | $0.991 | $3.01 | +$0.01 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | No | 2.2 | $0.910 | $2.07 | +$0.07 |
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 2.07 | $0.965 | $2.07 | +$0.07 |
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 0.26 | $0.991 | $0.26 | +$0 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 3.1 | $0.968 | $0.22 | -$2.78 |
| buy |
| 2.6K |
| $0.986 |
| $2.56K |
| May 17, 2026 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No | buy | 14.43 | $0.970 | $14 | May 17, 2026 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No | buy | 12.06 | $0.995 | $12 | May 17, 2026 |
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 3K | $0.991 | $2.97K | May 17, 2026 |
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 3.6K | $0.989 | $3.56K | May 17, 2026 |
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 4.73K | $0.986 | $4.66K | May 15, 2026 |
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 4.22K | $0.992 | $4.19K | May 14, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C or higher on May 14?No | buy | 215.22 | $0.999 | $215 | May 14, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 14?No | buy | 197.58 | $0.999 | $197.38 | May 14, 2026 |
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 8.26K | $0.991 | $8.18K | May 14, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on May 14?No | buy | 58.23 | $0.996 | $58 | May 14, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 14?No | buy | 620.62 | $0.999 | $620 | May 14, 2026 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | buy | 10.34 | $0.967 | $10 | May 14, 2026 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | May 14, 2026 |
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?No | buy | 11.24 | $0.979 | $11 | May 14, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 9.66 | $0.932 | $9 | May 14, 2026 |
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 5.04 | $0.997 | $5.02 | Apr 24, 2026 |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Yes | sell | 4.41 | $0.820 | $3.62 | Apr 24, 2026 |
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Selangor Red Giants vs AC Esports (BO3) - MPL Malaysia Regular SeasonSelangor Red Giants | buy | 8.07 | $0.878 | $7.09 | Apr 24, 2026 |
Will SK Poltava win on 2026-04-25?No | buy | 11.43 | $0.960 | $10.97 | Apr 24, 2026 |
Madrid Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Tyra Caterina GrantSorana Cirstea | buy | 5.39 | $0.730 | $3.94 | Apr 24, 2026 |
Madrid Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elena RybakinaElena Rybakina | buy | 5.25 | $0.950 | $4.98 | Apr 24, 2026 |
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Benjamin BonziJannik Sinner | buy | 14.21 | $0.984 | $13.99 | Apr 24, 2026 |
Rainbow Six Siege: Kingzone vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - CN League Kickoff PlayoffsWolves Esports | buy | 5.15 | $0.970 | $4.99 | Apr 24, 2026 |
Shymkent: Timofey Skatov vs Antoine GhibaudoTimofey Skatov | buy | 13.54 | $0.880 | $11.91 | Apr 24, 2026 |
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on April 25?No | buy | 14.12 | $0.990 | $13.99 | Apr 24, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 6.97 | $0.971 | $6.77 | Apr 24, 2026 |
Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in December?No | buy | 2.99 | $0.920 | $2.75 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?No | buy | 10.81 | $0.740 | $8 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Lighter Airdrop on December 31?No | buy | 5.78 | $0.865 | $5 | Dec 29, 2025 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.98 | $0.860 | $6 | Dec 29, 2025 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?No | sell | 7.25 | $0.996 | $7.22 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.976 | $19.53 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Will Baldur's Gate 3 win Labor of Love at the 2025 Steam Awards?Yes | buy | 2.12 | $0.850 | $1.8 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Clavicular charged by Jan 31?No | buy | 2.47 | $0.810 | $2 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)Yes | buy | 2.47 | $0.810 | $2 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will "Christmas Gameday: Lions vs. Vikings" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)No | buy | 3.43 | $0.875 | $3 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Yes | buy | 4.41 | $0.680 | $3 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.991 | $3 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?No | buy | 4.04 | $0.990 | $4 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Trump talk to Ahmed Al Shara in December?No | buy | 4.14 | $0.967 | $4 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Trump talk to Jair Bolsonaro in December?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.994 | $5 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Trump talk to Salvador Nasralla in December?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.989 | $3 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in December?No | buy | 5.09 | $0.982 | $5 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in December?Yes | buy | 4.57 | $0.876 | $4 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in December?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.989 | $3 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?No | buy | 3.02 | $0.995 | $3 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.992 | $5 | Dec 28, 2025 |