Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes | buy | 72.55 | $0.640 | $46.43 | Mar 2, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 62.5 |
| $0.240 |
| $15 |
| Mar 2, 2025 |
 Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?Yes | sell | 14.75 | $0.880 | $12.98 | Feb 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?No | sell | 5.81 | $0.910 | $5.29 | Feb 3, 2025 |
 Will Mike Pompeo be a member of the Trump administration?No | sell | 10.39 | $0.973 | $10.11 | Feb 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon himself in his first 100 days?No | sell | 11.11 | $0.966 | $10.73 | Feb 3, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by March 31?No | sell | 11.9 | $0.920 | $10.95 | Feb 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in his first 100 days?No | sell | 12.04 | $0.920 | $11.08 | Feb 3, 2025 |
 Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?Yes | sell | 14.08 | $0.951 | $13.39 | Feb 3, 2025 |
 Will Ben Carson be a member of the Trump administration?No | sell | 27.77 | $0.870 | $24.16 | Feb 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 103.28 | $0.500 | $51.64 | Jan 23, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump issue 50-74 executive orders in his first week?Yes | buy | 53.39 | $0.236 | $12.6 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first week?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.880 | $10 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in his first 100 days?No | sell | 23.25 | $0.972 | $22.6 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Trump cryptocurrency executive order in first week?Yes | buy | 38.18 | $0.323 | $12.35 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1?Yes | buy | 77.83 | $0.357 | $27.78 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Los Angeles" during his inauguration speech?No | buy | 8.25 | $0.580 | $4.79 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 8.2 | $0.610 | $5 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 35.42 | $0.240 | $8.5 | Jan 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Elon Musk" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Jan 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Los Angeles" during his inauguration speech?No | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | Jan 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 11.63 | $0.430 | $5 | Jan 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon a January 6 protestor in his first 100 days?Yes | sell | 23.95 | $0.981 | $23.49 | Jan 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "America" 15 or more times during his inauguration speech?No | buy | 26.07 | $0.290 | $7.56 | Jan 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "border" 5 or more times during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Jan 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "drill baby drill" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | Jan 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Jan 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Jan 19, 2025 |
 Will Solana hit $300 by January 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 18.24 | $0.548 | $10 | Jan 19, 2025 |
 Starmer out before July?Yes | buy | 40.56 | $0.180 | $7.3 | Jan 17, 2025 |
 Cardano ETF in 2025?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | Jan 17, 2025 |
 Ripple ETF approved by July 31?Yes | buy | 18.87 | $0.530 | $10 | Jan 17, 2025 |
| Ripple ETF approved in 2025?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | Jan 17, 2025 |
 Solana ETF approved by July 31?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.550 | $10 | Jan 17, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | Jan 17, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | Jan 17, 2025 |
 Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | Jan 17, 2025 |
 Will US gov sell Bitcoin before Trump inauguration?No | sell | 25.97 | $0.974 | $25.3 | Jan 17, 2025 |
 Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 37.03 | $0.982 | $36.37 | Jan 17, 2025 |
 Bitcoin all time high by June 30?Yes | buy | 11.8 | $0.842 | $9.93 | Jan 16, 2025 |
| Cardano ETF in 2025?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 Doge ETF approved by July 31?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.740 | $10 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 Bitcoin up in Q1 2025?Up | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?Yes | sell | 17.24 | $0.967 | $16.67 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 Will Tulsi Gabbard be a member of the Trump administration?Yes | sell | 11.9 | $0.973 | $11.58 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 Will RFK be a member of the Trump administration?Yes | sell | 10.98 | $0.982 | $10.79 | Jan 16, 2025 |