Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? | No | 33.59K | $0.793 | $27.55K | +$914.26 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 3.29K | $0.013 | $42.78 | Jun 28, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 45.79K |
| $0.156 |
| $2.54K |
| -$4.6K |
 Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 2.19K | $0.902 | $2.03K | +$49.52 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 1.5K | $0.642 | $228.75 | -$734.26 |
 Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 25.04K | $0.092 | $75.13 | -$2.23K |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 2.5K | $0.120 | $43.75 | -$256.28 |
| sell |
| 4.68K |
| $0.015 |
| $70.97 |
| Jun 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 1.62K | $0.220 | $356.31 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes | buy | 204.91 | $0.680 | $139.34 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.32K | $0.140 | $184.76 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Yes | buy | 623.32 | $0.158 | $98.47 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.8K | $0.153 | $427.56 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.999 | $499.5 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Yes | buy | 11.23K | $0.159 | $1.79K | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.999 | $299.7 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.12K | $0.146 | $309.72 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.12K | $0.159 | $1.13K | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | sell | 3.57K | $0.001 | $3.57 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.161 | $177.1 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.14K | $0.676 | $770.62 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Yes | buy | 554.59 | $0.150 | $83.16 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.680 | $40.8 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.690 | $24.84 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.22K | $0.690 | $843.18 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Yes | buy | 228.99 | $0.680 | $155.71 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Yes | buy | 119 | $0.670 | $79.73 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Yes | buy | 174 | $0.670 | $116.58 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Yes | buy | 644.98 | $0.660 | $425.69 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Yes | buy | 42.53 | $0.155 | $6.57 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Yes | buy | 16.3K | $0.168 | $2.74K | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.16K | $0.126 | $652.02 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.16K | $0.660 | $762.13 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Yes | buy | 6.05K | $0.640 | $3.87K | May 22, 2026 |
| Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Yes | buy | 693.58 | $0.500 | $346.79 | May 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 3.57K | $0.042 | $149.41 | May 20, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 31 | $0.200 | $6.2 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 101 | $0.720 | $72.72 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.720 | $144 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.720 | $144 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.720 | $144 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.720 | $144 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | sell | 4.2K | $0.230 | $967.09 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | sell | 126.16K | $0.241 | $30.4K | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.45K | $0.660 | $3.59K | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.48K | $0.650 | $964.41 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?No | buy | 900 | $0.380 | $342 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?No | buy | 868.18 | $0.370 | $321.23 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.71K | $0.684 | $1.17K | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 5.12K | $0.399 | $2.04K | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | sell | 6K | $0.985 | $5.91K | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 11K | $0.290 | $3.19K | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 197.8 | $0.280 | $55.38 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 3.18K | $0.280 | $889.22 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 3.59K | $0.270 | $968.99 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.270 | $2.7K | Mar 21, 2026 |