Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.44K | $0.014 | $20.15 | 16d ago |
|
| buy |
| 1K |
| $0.077 |
| $77.09 |
| 17d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 2.43K | $0.187 | $454.13 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 2.43K | $0.382 | $930 | Aug 12, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.62K | $0.353 | $924.71 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.37 | $0.420 | $3.1 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.61K | $0.421 | $1.1K | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?Yes | sell | 416.85 | $0.990 | $412.68 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?Yes | sell | 883.82 | $0.002 | $1.67 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Grok 4.6 released by August 14, 2026?No | sell | 9.87 | $0.190 | $1.88 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Yes | sell | 1.06K | $0.293 | $311.82 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Yes | buy | 9.28 | $0.280 | $2.6 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.290 | $8.7 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.270 | $676.07 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 503.98 | $0.450 | $227 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?Yes | buy | 346.1 | $0.254 | $88.05 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?Yes | buy | 108.62 | $0.202 | $21.99 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 877.2 | $0.600 | $526.32 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.75K | $0.570 | $1K | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?Yes | buy | 416.85 | $0.480 | $200 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?Yes | buy | 429.11 | $0.233 | $100 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.55K | $0.698 | $1.08K | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.55K | $0.644 | $1K | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | sell | 1.35K | $0.711 | $962.85 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | sell | 486.14 | $0.720 | $350.02 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | sell | 569.36 | $0.722 | $411.08 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | sell | 73.41 | $0.723 | $53.08 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 2.48K | $0.685 | $1.7K | Aug 6, 2026 |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Yes | sell | 1.86K | $0.544 | $1.01K | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.54K | $0.451 | $696.25 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Yes | buy | 1.86K | $0.700 | $1.3K | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 324.77 | $0.362 | $117.63 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.383 | $191.27 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 717.46 | $0.418 | $300 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 579.11 | $0.518 | $300 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.33K | $0.740 | $1.72K | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 27.63 | $0.760 | $21 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | sell | 317.96 | $0.403 | $128.14 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.37K | $0.630 | $1.49K | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 317.97 | $0.629 | $200 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Yes | buy | 1.24K | $0.750 | $933 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 2.03K | $0.272 | $552.64 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 2.38K | $0.440 | $1.05K | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 910.42 | $0.416 | $378.6 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 3.75K | $0.381 | $1.43K | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 102.56 | $0.390 | $40 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 3.65K | $0.432 | $1.57K | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?No | sell | 577.69 | $0.997 | $575.96 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?No | buy | 35.27 | $0.554 | $19.54 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?No | buy | 542.42 | $0.553 | $300 | Aug 2, 2026 |