Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 8.53K | $0.011 | $29.87 | -$62.51 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 346.15 | $0.026 | $9 | 16d ago |
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| Yes |
| 350 |
| $0.100 |
| $22.75 |
| -$12.25 |
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 1.93K | $0.031 | $21.25 | -$39.17 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 105.06 | $0.163 | $15.71 | -$1.44 |
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | Yes | 435.69 | $0.041 | $12.85 | -$5.15 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 124.62 | $0.136 | $7.41 | -$9.59 |
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 240.27 | $0.042 | $7.09 | -$2.91 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 63.35 | $0.221 | $4.47 | -$9.53 |
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 1.92K | $0.005 | $2.88 | -$7.12 |
Iran Nuke before 2027? | Yes | 37.04 | $0.054 | $1.83 | -$0.17 |
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 21.05 | $0.190 | $1.37 | -$2.63 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 18.87 | $0.053 | $0.5 | -$0.5 |
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 50.85 | $0.059 | $0.2 | -$2.8 |
| buy |
| 1.67K |
| $0.006 |
| $10 |
| 16d ago |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 109.34 | $0.177 | $19.35 | 16d ago |
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Yes | buy | 305.37 | $0.033 | $10 | 19d ago |
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 25.42 | $0.236 | $6 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 125.52 | $0.239 | $30 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 105.93 | $0.236 | $25 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jul 27, 2026 |
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.010 | $3 | Jul 27, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 273.35 | $0.005 | $1.37 | Jul 27, 2026 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 13.33 | $0.540 | $7.2 | Jul 27, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jul 24, 2026 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jul 24, 2026 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.72 | $0.046 | $1 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 625 | $0.008 | $5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by August 31?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.050 | $2 | Jul 20, 2026 |
France vs. England: Team to WinEngland | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | Jul 18, 2026 |
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.022 | $5 | Jul 18, 2026 |
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.012 | $5 | Jul 18, 2026 |
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 240.26 | $0.039 | $9.33 | Jul 18, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.037 | $4.63 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 27.91 | $0.201 | $5.61 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 384.62 | $0.013 | $5 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 434.78 | $0.023 | $10 | Jul 17, 2026 |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 38.7 | $0.150 | $5.81 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 136.93 | $0.044 | $6 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.040 | $5 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 888.89 | $0.018 | $16 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 571.51 | $0.042 | $24 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.028 | $2 | Jul 14, 2026 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 38.54 | $0.100 | $3.86 | Jul 3, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.75 | $0.160 | $3 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Yes | buy | 57.69 | $0.052 | $3 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 338.42 | $0.029 | $9.81 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 612.48 | $0.030 | $18.21 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 832.33 | $0.020 | $16.37 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 63.35 | $0.221 | $14 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.024 | $20 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 606.06 | $0.033 | $20 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 618.16 | $0.032 | $19.78 | Jul 2, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.120 | $3 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.035 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.78K | $0.023 | $40.59 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.92K | $0.004 | $7.68 | Jul 2, 2026 |