Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Google’s Gemini 2.5 Pro lose the NOF1.ai competition?No | buy | 27.73 | $0.920 | $25.51 | Nov 2, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 10.49 |
| $0.982 |
| $10.3 |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
 Funding lapse without government shutdown?No | buy | 5.74 | $0.988 | $5.67 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will the US add more than 125k jobs in September?No | buy | 9.66 | $0.960 | $9.27 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Will Karel Havlíček be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?No | buy | 10.49 | $0.950 | $9.97 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will Pedro Pascal win the Emmy for Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series?No | sell | 10.3 | $0.950 | $9.79 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 Will four or more people dissent the September Fed decision?No | buy | 7.35 | $0.968 | $7.11 | Sep 15, 2025 |
| Will Pedro Pascal win the Emmy for Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series?No | buy | 10.31 | $0.982 | $10.12 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Dobropillia by September 30?No | buy | 8.02 | $0.971 | $7.79 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 Will the Browns win the AFC Championship?No | sell | 350.73 | $0.994 | $348.63 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Will the Browns win the AFC Championship?No | buy | 350.73 | $0.995 | $348.98 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 North Korea missile test by August 15?No | buy | 7.78 | $0.988 | $7.69 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds by August 31?No | buy | 6.39 | $0.955 | $6.1 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 0% and -1%?No | buy | 5.16 | $0.990 | $5.11 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before August?No | buy | 5.16 | $0.990 | $5.11 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Germany in July?No | buy | 8.3 | $0.978 | $8.12 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 Biden diagnosed with prostate cancer while in office?No | sell | 1.44 | $0.985 | $1.42 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Biden diagnosed with prostate cancer while in office?No | sell | 8.97 | $0.985 | $8.84 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Biden diagnosed with prostate cancer while in office?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.978 | $10.19 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran before August?No | buy | 6.38 | $0.991 | $6.32 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Will LDP hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?Yes | buy | 8.14 | $0.982 | $7.99 | Jul 5, 2025 |
| North Korea missile test by June 15?No | buy | 7.84 | $0.969 | $7.6 | Jun 12, 2025 |
 Will MOUZ win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?No | buy | 6.99 | $0.900 | $6.29 | Jun 12, 2025 |
 Goff vs. KoKo | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Jun 12, 2025 |
| Will the US add 200k or more jobs in May?No | sell | 6.78 | $0.920 | $6.24 | Jun 3, 2025 |
| Will the US add 200k or more jobs in May?No | buy | 6.79 | $0.890 | $6.04 | May 31, 2025 |
 Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?No | buy | 6.36 | $0.894 | $5.69 | May 28, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?No | buy | 6.21 | $0.980 | $6.08 | May 26, 2025 |
 Will Trzaskowski or Nawrocki win the diaspora vote?Trzaskowski | buy | 5.62 | $0.984 | $5.53 | May 25, 2025 |
 XRP all time high in May?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.982 | $5.97 | May 21, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: MayYes | buy | 5.82 | $0.930 | $5.41 | May 21, 2025 |
 Will Canada raise tariffs on the U.S. before June?No | buy | 6.07 | $0.965 | $5.86 | May 19, 2025 |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski win the most votes in the first round of the Polish Presidential election?Yes | buy | 5.87 | $0.999 | $5.86 | May 19, 2025 |
 Will the Delhi Capitals win the 2025 Indian Premier League?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.974 | $5.85 | May 19, 2025 |
 Will Nottingham Forest finish in the top 4 of EPL?No | buy | 5.57 | $0.968 | $5.39 | May 19, 2025 |
 Will Karol Nawrocki win the most votes in the first round of the Polish Presidential election?No | buy | 10.05 | $0.978 | $9.83 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?Yes | buy | 5.42 | $0.983 | $5.33 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Luís Montenegro be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?Yes | buy | 7.2 | $0.968 | $6.97 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will the Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?Yes | buy | 9.35 | $0.974 | $9.11 | May 18, 2025 |
| Will the Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?Yes | buy | 8.44 | $0.950 | $8.02 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will Luís Montenegro be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?Yes | buy | 5.96 | $0.948 | $5.65 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 6.39 | $0.967 | $6.18 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 6.23 | $0.970 | $6.04 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will San Marino finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No | buy | 7.42 | $0.950 | $7.05 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?No | buy | 7.88 | $0.940 | $7.41 | May 13, 2025 |