Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.986 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.01 |
| $0.990 |
| $1 |
| Jan 15, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 November 17-23?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.981 | $1 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 Will the government shutdown end November 15?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Will Abigail Spanberger win by 6-9%?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Over $1.1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by October 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be between 48-49°F on October 23?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Yoon Suk Yeol in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in September?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Trae Young win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Germany in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will anyone say "Defund" or "Defunding" during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% or more in September?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Heather Humphreys win by 20% or more?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will the price of Solana be above $140 on October 23?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in September 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump deport less than 250,000?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on October 23?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Alibaba have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by October 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on October 23?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.981 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on October 22?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on October 22?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETUp | buy | 1.2K | $0.500 | $600 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETUp | buy | 1.2K | $0.500 | $600 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETUp | buy | 3K | $0.500 | $1.5K | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETDown | buy | 2.2K | $0.500 | $1.1K | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETUp | buy | 1.6K | $0.500 | $800 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETDown | buy | 1.6K | $0.500 | $800 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETDown | buy | 1.6K | $0.500 | $800 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETDown | buy | 1.6K | $0.500 | $800 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETUp | buy | 1.6K | $0.500 | $800 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETUp | buy | 1.6K | $0.500 | $800 | Oct 22, 2025 |