Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 120.18 | $0.291 | $18.63 | -$16.37 |
 Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 11, 2026?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.985 | $2.4 | 1h ago |
 |
| No |
| 29.8 |
| $0.503 |
| $17.14 |
| +$2.14 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 16.68 | $0.899 | $16.13 | +$1.13 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 15.08 | $0.995 | $15.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will no listed leader be out before 2027? | No | 22.73 | $0.660 | $14.66 | -$0.34 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 16.67 | $0.300 | $14.42 | +$9.42 |
 Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.25K | $0.020 | $14.38 | -$10.63 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 14.71 | $0.680 | $13.31 | +$3.31 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | No | 14.13 | $0.920 | $13.07 | +$0.07 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 11.88 | $0.841 | $11.11 | +$1.11 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 10.94 | $0.914 | $10.61 | +$0.61 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | Yes | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10.42 | +$0.42 |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15? | No | 10.1 | $0.990 | $10.09 | +$0.09 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | Yes | 10.36 | $0.965 | $9.98 | -$0.02 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 10.91 | $0.550 | $9.76 | +$3.76 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 90.91 | $0.110 | $8.18 | -$1.82 |
 Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ? | No | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5.89 | +$0.89 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5.83 | +$0.83 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5.5 | +$0.5 |
 Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026? | No | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5.16 | +$0.16 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September? | No | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will Russia target Kyiv on September 7, 2026? | No | 5.45 | $0.918 | $4.98 | -$0.02 |
 Will Oliver Tree be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year? | No | 5.37 | $0.931 | $4.67 | -$0.33 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? | No | 6.76 | $0.740 | $4.66 | -$0.34 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 133.33 | $0.075 | $4.6 | -$5.4 |
| buy |
| 10.1 |
| $0.990 |
| $10 |
| 1h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?No | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | 1h ago |
 Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 10.36 | $0.965 | $10 | 1d ago |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?No | buy | 29.8 | $0.503 | $15 | 1d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 7, 2026?No | buy | 5.45 | $0.918 | $5 | 1d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No | buy | 14.13 | $0.920 | $13 | 2d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | 7d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 15.08 | $0.995 | $15 | 7d ago |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | 7d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | 7d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | 7d ago |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | 7d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 10.14 | $0.986 | $10 | 7d ago |
 Will GPT-6 be released by November 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.84 | $0.947 | $15 | 7d ago |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10 | 12d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.04 | $0.996 | $10 | 12d ago |
| Will Oliver Tree be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?No | buy | 5.37 | $0.931 | $5 | 12d ago |
| Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026?No | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | 12d ago |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?No | buy | 10.36 | $0.965 | $10 | 12d ago |
 Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 15.22 | $0.657 | $10 | 12d ago |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.71 | $0.934 | $10 | 12d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?No | buy | 30.3 | $0.330 | $10 | 12d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Yes | sell | 206.89 | $0.026 | $5.38 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Yes | buy | 206.9 | $0.029 | $6 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 10.52 | $0.992 | $10.43 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.310 | $10 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 2.91 | $0.860 | $2.5 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. Qairat FK: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierTeam Falcons | buy | 15.63 | $0.960 | $15 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?Yes | sell | 6.02 | $0.520 | $3.13 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No | buy | 10.18 | $0.982 | $10 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?No | buy | 10.16 | $0.984 | $10 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?Yes | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago CubsDetroit Tigers | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?No | buy | 15.35 | $0.977 | $15 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.21 | $0.959 | $5 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | buy | 11.36 | $0.880 | $10 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Team Jenz (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group ASpirit Academy | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.660 | $15 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)Dricus Du Plessis | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Fight to Go the Distance?No | buy | 4.29 | $0.700 | $3 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)Dricus Du Plessis | buy | 5.88 | $0.680 | $4 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Fight to Go the Distance?No | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Jul 19, 2026 |