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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 2.3 | $0.870 | $2.15 | +$0.15 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 4?No | buy | 51.16 | $0.780 | $39.9 | Mar 3, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 30 |
| $0.750 |
| $22.5 |
| Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 3?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 4?No | buy | 147.2 | $0.850 | $125.12 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 3?Yes | sell | 147.2 | $0.850 | $125.12 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on March 2?Down | sell | 130.99 | $0.715 | $93.6 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 1?Yes | buy | 79.3 | $0.872 | $69.18 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 22.36K | $0.003 | $69.57 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 995.05 | $0.603 | $600 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 1.71K | $0.617 | $1.05K | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 362 | $0.578 | $209.34 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 9.67K | $0.609 | $5.89K | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 1.32K | $0.702 | $927 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 50% in February?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.927 | $927 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 1.93K | $0.967 | $1.87K | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 50% in February?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.748 | $748 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 792.81 | $0.903 | $715.95 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?No | buy | 37.05 | $0.780 | $28.9 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Houthi strike on Israel by February 28?No | sell | 30 | $0.963 | $28.88 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 2-8?No | buy | 23.22 | $0.590 | $13.7 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 February 2-8?No | sell | 5 | $0.970 | $4.85 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 February 2-8?No | sell | 9.23 | $0.958 | $8.84 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 February 2-8?No | buy | 537.41 | $0.441 | $237 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 February 2-8?No | buy | 197.9 | $0.834 | $165 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 February 2-8?No | buy | 509.17 | $0.393 | $200 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?No | sell | 479.89 | $0.793 | $380.69 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 February 2-8?No | buy | 14.92 | $0.550 | $8.21 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 February 2-8?No | buy | 15 | $0.520 | $7.8 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?No | sell | 20 | $0.800 | $16 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 February 2-8?No | buy | 35.88 | $0.390 | $13.99 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 February 2-8?No | buy | 500 | $0.219 | $109.67 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?No | sell | 224.71 | $0.930 | $208.98 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4?Down | sell | 123.93 | $0.996 | $123.43 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4?Down | buy | 48 | $0.970 | $46.56 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?No | sell | 194.08 | $0.640 | $124.21 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 February 2-8?No | buy | 9.23 | $0.650 | $6 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?No | sell | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?No | buy | 266.91 | $0.112 | $29.89 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?No | buy | 224.72 | $0.890 | $200 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?No | buy | 204.08 | $0.490 | $100 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by February 28?No | buy | 30 | $0.890 | $26.7 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?No | sell | 308 | $0.750 | $231 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?No | buy | 11.19 | $0.989 | $11.07 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?No | sell | 10.17 | $0.999 | $10.16 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?No | buy | 10.16 | $0.984 | $10 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?No | buy | 94.34 | $0.530 | $50 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.520 | $20 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?No | buy | 35.29 | $0.510 | $18 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 311.36 | $0.870 | $270.88 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?No | buy | 101 | $0.490 | $49.49 | Jan 24, 2026 |