Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 3.72 | $0.262 | $0.97 | Apr 8, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 3.72 |
| $0.274 |
| $1.02 |
| Apr 8, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 2.62 | $0.600 | $1.57 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 2.62 | $0.500 | $1.31 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | sell | 3.14 | $0.421 | $1.32 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 3.15 | $0.429 | $1.35 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 1.74 | $0.716 | $1.25 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 1.74 | $0.718 | $1.25 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 2.18 | $0.730 | $1.59 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 2.19 | $0.740 | $1.62 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 3.85 | $0.600 | $2.31 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.610 | $2.35 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | sell | 2.17 | $0.450 | $0.98 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.470 | $1.02 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 3.61 | $0.350 | $1.26 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 2.52 | $0.450 | $1.13 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 2.52 | $0.460 | $1.16 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 3.61 | $0.360 | $1.3 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 3.44 | $0.280 | $0.96 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025?No | sell | 4.46 | $0.590 | $2.63 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025?No | buy | 4.47 | $0.600 | $2.68 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 2.97 | $0.350 | $1.04 | Sep 27, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 2.97 | $0.360 | $1.07 | Sep 27, 2025 |
 Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?Yes | sell | 2.5 | $0.450 | $1.13 | Aug 23, 2025 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | sell | 3.56 | $0.290 | $1.03 | Aug 23, 2025 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.300 | $1.07 | Aug 23, 2025 |
| Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.460 | $1.15 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 3.31 | $0.366 | $1.21 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 3.32 | $0.380 | $1.26 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | sell | 3.5 | $0.532 | $1.86 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 3.5 | $0.540 | $1.89 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?No | sell | 2.47 | $0.450 | $1.11 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 2.48 | $0.460 | $1.14 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 4.05 | $0.278 | $1.13 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 4.06 | $0.281 | $1.14 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will 'Look Back' win Crunchyroll's Film of the Year Award for 2025?Yes | sell | 2.93 | $0.710 | $2.08 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will 'Look Back' win Crunchyroll's Film of the Year Award for 2025?Yes | buy | 2.93 | $0.730 | $2.14 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in May?No | sell | 3.31 | $0.710 | $2.35 | May 16, 2025 |
| Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in May?No | buy | 3.32 | $0.730 | $2.42 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?No | sell | 3.45 | $0.400 | $1.38 | Apr 26, 2025 |
| Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.400 | $1.38 | Apr 26, 2025 |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 3.69 | $0.320 | $1.18 | Apr 11, 2025 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.330 | $1.22 | Apr 11, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 2.89 | $0.720 | $2.08 | Apr 11, 2025 |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 2.89 | $0.740 | $2.14 | Apr 11, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | sell | 2.66 | $0.500 | $1.33 | Apr 1, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.510 | $1.36 | Mar 31, 2025 |
 Will 7-8 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?No | sell | 4.22 | $0.470 | $1.98 | Mar 22, 2025 |
| Will 7-8 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?No | buy | 4.22 | $0.500 | $2.11 | Mar 22, 2025 |