Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 1.38K | $0.421 | $582.5 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 314.93 |
| $0.994 |
| $313.04 |
| Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?No | sell | 301.2 | $0.760 | $228.91 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 652.06 | $0.001 | $0.65 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Government shutdown on Saturday?Yes | buy | 120.48 | $0.830 | $100 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 314.94 | $0.953 | $300 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No | buy | 333.33 | $0.900 | $300 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?Yes | sell | 2.05K | $0.037 | $76.4 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 540.54 | $0.930 | $502.7 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Maduro mugshot released by January 9?No | buy | 607.21 | $0.920 | $558.63 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?No | buy | 523.98 | $0.954 | $500 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 666.67 | $0.900 | $600 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 551.61 | $0.100 | $55.16 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 243.9 | $0.410 | $100 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 540.54 | $0.370 | $200 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 641.03 | $0.780 | $500 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on January 2, 2026?No | buy | 561.46 | $0.891 | $500 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on January 1, 2026?No | buy | 359.52 | $0.970 | $348.73 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 925.93 | $0.540 | $500 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?Yes | buy | 793.08 | $0.883 | $700 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.130 | $143.42 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in December?No | buy | 113.64 | $0.880 | $100 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 458.61 | $0.540 | $247.65 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | sell | 254.78 | $0.972 | $247.65 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 136.92 | $0.830 | $113.64 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in December?No | buy | 191.32 | $0.869 | $166.25 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in December?No | buy | 117.65 | $0.850 | $100 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in December?No | buy | 117.66 | $0.850 | $100 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced in 2025?No | buy | 161.94 | $0.247 | $40 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Epstein client list released in 2025?No | buy | 155.75 | $0.944 | $146.99 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Yes | buy | 113.64 | $0.880 | $100 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No | buy | 520.78 | $0.860 | $447.87 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?No | buy | 460.7 | $0.868 | $400 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 238.1 | $0.840 | $200 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15?No | buy | 407.58 | $0.927 | $377.73 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?Yes | buy | 406.26 | $0.738 | $300 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 408.16 | $0.490 | $200 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?No | sell | 207.8 | $0.974 | $202.4 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 442.35 | $0.570 | $252.14 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?No | sell | 354.63 | $0.950 | $336.9 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?No | buy | 602.41 | $0.830 | $500 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 432.9 | $0.693 | $300 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.901 | $1K | Dec 12, 2025 |
 U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?No | buy | 483.87 | $0.620 | $300 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.34K | $0.999 | $1.34K | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Adobe (ADBE) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 104.38 | $0.958 | $100 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Oracle (ORCL) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 119.4 | $0.837 | $100 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 39.69 | $0.950 | $37.72 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | sell | 917.5 | $0.041 | $37.72 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?Yes | buy | 226.48 | $0.802 | $181.58 | Dec 7, 2025 |