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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 9.09 | $0.550 | $7.23 | +$2.23 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | 6d ago |
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| No |
| 5.57 |
| $0.898 |
| $5.46 |
| +$0.46 |
EU dissolves before 2027? | No | 5.18 | $0.965 | $5.14 | +$0.14 |
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5.14 | +$0.14 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 4.81 | $0.832 | $4.46 | +$0.46 |
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 14.93 | $0.067 | $2.41 | +$1.41 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 2.6 | $0.768 | $2.2 | +$0.2 |
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 2.5 | $0.400 | $2.09 | +$1.09 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 2.17 | $0.460 | $2.03 | +$1.03 |
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1.77 | +$0.77 |
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? | No | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1.75 | +$0.75 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1.38 | +$0.38 |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.71 | $0.369 | $1.36 | +$0.36 |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 5.08 | $0.197 | $1.23 | +$0.23 |
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1.23 | +$0.23 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 1.43 | $0.697 | $1.22 | +$0.22 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 13.51 | $0.074 | $1.18 | +$0.18 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20.95 | $0.095 | $1.12 | -$0.88 |
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? | No | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? | No | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? | No | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
X banned in any European country by December 31? | No | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 1.12 | $0.893 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
| buy |
| 6.67 |
| $0.150 |
| $1 |
| 7d ago |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will France win on 2026-06-30?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Jun 27, 2026 |
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Jun 27, 2026 |
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Will England win on 2026-06-27?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 2.63 | $0.090 | $0.24 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.43 | $0.001 | $0 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5.18 | $0.997 | $5.16 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?No | sell | 2.11 | $0.998 | $2.11 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes | sell | 1.78 | $0.998 | $1.78 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?No | sell | 1.31 | $0.997 | $1.31 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Will France win on 2026-06-26?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.838 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Yes | buy | 1.7 | $0.587 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?Yes | buy | 16.95 | $0.059 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | May 28, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | sell | 3.22 | $0.050 | $0.16 | May 28, 2026 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 11.62 | $0.099 | $1.15 | May 28, 2026 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.697 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2KT Rolster | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | May 22, 2026 |
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?OpenAI | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | May 21, 2026 |
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | May 21, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | May 21, 2026 |
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Hanwha Life Esports | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | May 17, 2026 |
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.945 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in May?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 in May?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2T1 | sell | 1.06 | $0.999 | $1.06 | May 13, 2026 |
LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 WinnerT1 | sell | 2.51 | $0.999 | $2.51 | May 13, 2026 |
LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 WinnerT1 | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 WinnerT1 | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2T1 | buy | 1.06 | $0.943 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |