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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 15.71 | $0.954 | $15.48 | +$0.49 |
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 2.46 | $0.410 | $1.01 | 42m ago |
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| No |
| 6.75 |
| $0.962 |
| $6.5 |
| +$0.01 |
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 4.41 | $0.927 | $4.27 | +$0.19 |
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? | Yes | 3.61 | $0.840 | $2.94 | -$0.09 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? | No | 2.95 | $0.966 | $2.85 | -$0 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | No | 2.15 | $0.939 | $2.01 | -$0.01 |
Databricks IPO before 2027? | No | 1.37 | $0.929 | $1.25 | -$0.03 |
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | No | 1.6 | $0.630 | $1.19 | +$0.18 |
Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 1.26 | $0.800 | $1.17 | +$0.16 |
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? | No | 1.85 | $0.546 | $1.1 | +$0.09 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 2.46 | $0.410 | $1.05 | +$0.04 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027? | No | 1.03 | $0.980 | $1.01 | -$0 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 1.01 | $0.870 | $0.98 | +$0.1 |
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.1 | $0.480 | $0.84 | -$0.17 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 0.76 | $0.937 | $0.74 | +$0.02 |
Will BP be acquired before 2027? | No | 0.71 | $0.780 | $0.69 | +$0.14 |
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat? | No | 0.84 | $0.720 | $0.59 | -$0.01 |
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? | No | 0.51 | $0.940 | $0.49 | +$0.01 |
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? | No | 0.5 | $0.945 | $0.49 | +$0.02 |
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | Yes | 0.31 | $0.950 | $0.31 | +$0.01 |
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | No | 0.35 | $0.830 | $0.3 | +$0.01 |
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? | Yes | 2.06 | $0.490 | $0.3 | -$0.71 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | No | 0.26 | $0.899 | $0.23 | -$0.01 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | No | 0.49 | $0.395 | $0.22 | +$0.02 |
| sell |
| 0.99 |
| $0.974 |
| $0.96 |
| 3h ago |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | sell | 0.05 | $0.975 | $0.05 | 13h ago |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.969 | $1.01 | 21h ago |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?No | sell | 0.08 | $0.960 | $0.08 | 21h ago |
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | sell | 0.7 | $0.520 | $0.36 | 22h ago |
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | sell | 0.31 | $0.490 | $0.15 | 23h ago |
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | sell | 0.89 | $0.480 | $0.43 | 23h ago |
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | buy | 1.91 | $0.530 | $1.01 | 23h ago |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | sell | 0.5 | $0.965 | $0.48 | 1d ago |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | sell | 0.56 | $0.965 | $0.54 | 2d ago |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.939 | $1.01 | 2d ago |
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?Yes | sell | 9.24 | $0.070 | $0.65 | 2d ago |
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?Yes | sell | 2.37 | $0.060 | $0.14 | 2d ago |
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?Yes | sell | 2.81 | $0.060 | $0.17 | 2d ago |
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?Yes | buy | 14.43 | $0.070 | $1.01 | 2d ago |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.940 | $1.01 | 3d ago |
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.963 | $1.01 | 3d ago |
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.965 | $1.01 | 4d ago |
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?No | sell | 1.65 | $0.957 | $1.58 | 4d ago |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.959 | $1.01 | 4d ago |
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.965 | $1.01 | 4d ago |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | sell | 3.14 | $0.963 | $3.02 | 5d ago |
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?No | sell | 1.21 | $0.930 | $1.13 | 5d ago |
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.959 | $1.01 | 5d ago |
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.959 | $1.01 | 5d ago |
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.959 | $1.01 | 5d ago |
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 0.09 | $0.890 | $0.08 | 6d ago |
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 0.26 | $0.890 | $0.23 | 6d ago |
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 0.07 | $0.890 | $0.06 | 6d ago |
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 0.26 | $0.890 | $0.23 | 6d ago |
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 0.08 | $0.890 | $0.07 | 6d ago |
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 0.26 | $0.890 | $0.23 | 6d ago |
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 0.25 | $0.890 | $0.22 | 6d ago |
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 0.11 | $0.890 | $0.1 | 6d ago |
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 0.81 | $0.890 | $0.72 | 6d ago |
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 0.05 | $0.890 | $0.04 | 6d ago |
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.900 | $1.01 | 6d ago |
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.900 | $1.01 | 6d ago |
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Yes | sell | 5.69 | $0.370 | $2.11 | 6d ago |
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Yes | buy | 2.89 | $0.350 | $1.01 | 6d ago |
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Yes | buy | 2.81 | $0.360 | $1.01 | 6d ago |
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?No | sell | 8.84 | $0.220 | $1.94 | 6d ago |
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.41 | $0.940 | $0.39 | 6d ago |
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.958 | $1.01 | 6d ago |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | 7d ago |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.840 | $1.01 | 7d ago |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 1.19 | $0.830 | $0.99 | 7d ago |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.850 | $1.01 | 9d ago |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 0.25 | $0.850 | $0.21 | 9d ago |