Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 1.08K | $0.384 | $166.78 | -$249.58 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 220 | $0.322 | $70.84 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 575.6 |
| $0.313 |
| $94.97 |
| -$85.02 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 310 | $0.392 | $88.35 | -$33.25 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 400 | $0.150 | $30 | -$30 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 651.1 | $0.223 | $29.95 | -$115.05 |
| buy |
| 200 |
| $0.201 |
| $40.2 |
| Jul 9, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 180 | $0.084 | $15.12 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.150 | $60 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 650 | $0.097 | $63.05 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.094 | $65.8 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 201.64 | $0.082 | $16.57 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 229.68 | $0.087 | $19.98 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 120 | $0.313 | $37.56 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?Yes | buy | 18.8 | $0.157 | $2.95 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 134 | $0.430 | $57.62 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?Yes | buy | 161.7 | $0.119 | $19.24 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 55.1 | $0.250 | $13.78 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.140 | $50 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 471.1 | $0.212 | $100 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?Yes | buy | 326.2 | $0.153 | $50 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 199 | $0.340 | $67.68 | May 23, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | sell | 502.42 | $0.991 | $497.9 | May 23, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes | sell | 161.29 | $0.985 | $158.87 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?No | sell | 180.25 | $0.998 | $179.89 | May 21, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.140 | $42 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 150 | $0.344 | $51.6 | May 20, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 230.77 | $0.130 | $30 | May 18, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes | buy | 305.08 | $0.059 | $18 | May 18, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.410 | $61.5 | May 18, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?Yes | buy | 100.02 | $0.180 | $18 | May 18, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?Yes | buy | 230 | $0.060 | $13.8 | May 18, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?Yes | buy | 6.4 | $0.059 | $0.38 | May 18, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?Yes | buy | 6.4 | $0.059 | $0.38 | May 18, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 94.59 | $0.370 | $35 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 156.25 | $0.320 | $50 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.356 | $35.6 | May 18, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 197.85 | $0.404 | $80 | May 18, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes | buy | 161.29 | $0.310 | $50 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 322.58 | $0.310 | $100 | May 18, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.390 | $39 | May 17, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.420 | $63 | May 17, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 7.48 | $0.380 | $2.84 | May 17, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 9.04 | $0.370 | $3.34 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 156.25 | $0.352 | $55 | May 17, 2026 |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?Yes | buy | 373.09 | $0.027 | $10 | May 17, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes | buy | 243.9 | $0.041 | $10 | May 17, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 555.56 | $0.090 | $50 | May 17, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.330 | $49.5 | May 17, 2026 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.160 | $1.6 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.353 | $35.3 | May 17, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.090 | $22.5 | May 17, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.040 | $4 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.410 | $82 | May 16, 2026 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?Yes | buy | 355 | $0.170 | $60.35 | May 16, 2026 |