Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 125.48 | $0.603 | $112.31 | +$36.61 |
 Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10 | Jul 24, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 20 |
| $0.610 |
| $12.6 |
| +$0.4 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.490 | $9.25 | +$4.35 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027? | No | 10 | $0.560 | $9.15 | +$3.55 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 8.6 | $0.771 | $7.95 | +$1.32 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 12.72 | $0.393 | $6.41 | +$1.41 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 5 | $0.510 | $2.33 | -$0.23 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027? | No | 20 | $0.390 | $1.4 | -$6.4 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 8.77 | $0.570 | $1.36 | -$3.64 |
 Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.280 | $1.3 | -$4.3 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.100 | $0.11 | -$0.89 |
| buy |
| 6.49 |
| $0.770 |
| $5 |
| Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.94 | $0.405 | $2 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 12.72 | $0.393 | $5 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by June 30?No | buy | 15.39 | $0.065 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by June 30?No | buy | 16.78 | $0.060 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by June 30?No | buy | 16.91 | $0.059 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by June 30?No | buy | 17.25 | $0.058 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 25.79 | $0.388 | $10 | May 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | May 4, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?No | sell | 51.06 | $0.950 | $48.51 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15?No | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15?No | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 30 | $0.940 | $28.2 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 8.25 | $0.810 | $6.68 | May 4, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?No | sell | 17.94 | $0.950 | $17.04 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes | sell | 5.09 | $0.929 | $4.73 | May 4, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by June 30?No | buy | 42.55 | $0.047 | $2 | May 3, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 8.61 | $0.900 | $7.75 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15?No | buy | 50 | $0.140 | $7 | May 3, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 8.27 | $0.900 | $7.44 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | May 3, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.62 | $0.900 | $5.06 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15?No | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | May 3, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 7.5 | $0.900 | $6.75 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | May 3, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.900 | $9 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15?No | buy | 50 | $0.140 | $7 | May 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 8.06 | $0.620 | $5 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.650 | $6.5 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.470 | $2.35 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.475 | $4.75 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.790 | $3.95 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30?No | sell | 10 | $0.991 | $9.91 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.800 | $8 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETDown | buy | 5.09 | $0.980 | $4.99 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETDown | buy | 12.37 | $0.070 | $0.87 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETDown | buy | 2.74 | $0.330 | $0.9 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETUp | sell | 10.38 | $0.999 | $10.37 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETDown | sell | 2 | $0.990 | $1.98 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETDown | buy | 1.93 | $0.480 | $0.93 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETUp | buy | 10.36 | $0.960 | $9.94 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETDown | sell | 21.39 | $0.990 | $21.18 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETDown | buy | 10.74 | $0.920 | $9.88 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETDown | buy | 10.55 | $0.940 | $9.91 | Apr 6, 2026 |