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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | No | 6.01 | $0.920 | $5.88 | +$0.35 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?No | sell | 2.16 | $0.999 | $2.16 | 21d ago |
 |
| No |
| 1.64 |
| $0.900 |
| $1.56 |
| +$0.08 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 19.23 | $0.052 | $1.5 | +$0.5 |
 Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1.31 | +$0.31 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
 Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ? | No | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
 Will the Republican Party win the AL-04 House seat? | Yes | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
 Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? | Yes | 1.75 | $0.570 | $0.98 | -$0.02 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat? | Yes | 1.52 | $0.660 | $0.11 | -$0.89 |
| sell |
| 2.16 |
| $0.999 |
| $2.16 |
| 21d ago |
| Will Jared Moskowitz be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.960 | $2.08 | 21d ago |
| Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.960 | $2.08 | 21d ago |
 Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | sell | 5.24 | $0.999 | $5.23 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 2.16 | $0.999 | $2.16 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?Yes | sell | 2.18 | $0.999 | $2.18 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.960 | $2.08 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?Yes | buy | 2.19 | $0.950 | $2.08 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.26 | $0.998 | $2.26 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | sell | 2.23 | $0.480 | $1.07 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | sell | 2.26 | $0.510 | $1.15 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 2.26 | $0.950 | $2.15 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 2.24 | $0.960 | $2.15 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.26 | $0.950 | $2.15 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Adam Kurtz win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.998 | $1.03 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?No | buy | 2.24 | $0.950 | $2.13 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 1.85 | $0.430 | $0.8 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 30.55 | $0.999 | $30.52 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 1.93 | $0.998 | $1.93 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.960 | $1.35 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?No | sell | 1.86 | $0.551 | $1.02 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?No | buy | 1.86 | $0.950 | $1.77 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?No | sell | 1.83 | $0.999 | $1.83 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?No | buy | 1.83 | $0.950 | $1.74 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 1.94 | $0.950 | $1.84 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | sell | 0.2 | $0.999 | $0.2 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?Yes | sell | 2.09 | $0.999 | $2.09 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?Yes | buy | 2.09 | $0.960 | $2.01 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?Yes | buy | 28.31 | $0.700 | $19.82 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?No | sell | 3.06 | $0.999 | $3.06 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.950 | $2.91 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 42.5 | $0.120 | $5.1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?No | sell | 3.95 | $0.999 | $3.95 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No | sell | 3.49 | $0.999 | $3.49 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 14?No | sell | 3.47 | $0.998 | $3.46 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?No | buy | 3.16 | $0.950 | $3 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?No | buy | 3.22 | $0.950 | $3.06 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.49 | $0.950 | $3.32 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No | buy | 3.5 | $0.940 | $3.29 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 14?No | buy | 3.47 | $0.950 | $3.3 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?No | sell | 3.53 | $0.999 | $3.53 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?No | buy | 3.53 | $0.960 | $3.39 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 30.56 | $0.162 | $4.95 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 495.5 | $0.020 | $9.91 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra AndreevaMirra Andreeva | sell | 9.82 | $0.999 | $9.81 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra AndreevaMirra Andreeva | buy | 9.83 | $0.800 | $7.86 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra AndreevaMaja Chwalinska | buy | 13.46 | $0.240 | $3.23 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 3.63 | $0.250 | $0.91 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No | sell | 3.56 | $0.999 | $3.56 | Jun 2, 2026 |