Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2.61 | +$0.61 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 7.46 | $0.402 | $3 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 5.55 |
| $0.200 |
| $1.11 |
| Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.600 | $2 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.160 | $1.6 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.600 | $2 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Heart Attack" in January?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | sell | 1.42 | $0.440 | $0.62 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | sell | 5.97 | $0.420 | $2.51 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser in July?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 5.73 | $0.349 | $2 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 6.69 | $0.299 | $2 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.620 | $2 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jul 2, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO in 2025?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Grok 4 released by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.972 | $1 | Jul 2, 2025 |
| Grok 4 released by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.972 | $1 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 3.37 | $0.297 | $1 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 3.46 | $0.289 | $1 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?Yes | buy | 6.45 | $0.310 | $2 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Elon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump appeal his hush money conviction?Yes | buy | 5.8 | $0.345 | $2 | Dec 14, 2024 |
 Israel military response against Iran by Friday?Yes | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | Oct 6, 2024 |
 Biden drops out by July 4?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.041 | $1 | Jul 1, 2024 |
| Biden drops out by July 4?Yes | buy | 106.38 | $0.047 | $5 | Jun 29, 2024 |
 Netanyahu out by October 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jun 29, 2024 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.064 | $2 | Jun 29, 2024 |
 Will Biden be on Ohio Presidential Ballot?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | May 23, 2024 |
 Ilya doesn't announce plans by May 31?Yes | buy | 2.41 | $0.830 | $2 | May 21, 2024 |
 Scarlett Johansson sues OpenAI in May?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | May 21, 2024 |
| Ilya doesn't announce plans by May 31?Yes | buy | 3.9 | $0.770 | $3 | May 19, 2024 |
 New Iranian President by Friday?No | buy | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5 | May 19, 2024 |
 Will Iran President Raisi be found today?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | May 19, 2024 |
 Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | Mar 20, 2024 |
 Israel ground offensive in Rafah by April 30?Yes | buy | 44.44 | $0.450 | $20 | Mar 20, 2024 |
| Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.380 | $10 | Mar 19, 2024 |
 NVIDIA flips Apple in market cap by April 30?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.350 | $10 | Mar 19, 2024 |
 Will Google or NVIDIA be worth more on March 1?NVIDIA | buy | 17.54 | $0.570 | $10 | Feb 14, 2024 |
| Will Google or NVIDIA be worth more on March 1?NVIDIA | buy | 8.77 | $0.570 | $5 | Feb 14, 2024 |
 Will Argentina dollarize in 2024?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Feb 13, 2024 |
 Will Biden drop out by Friday?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.011 | $2 | Feb 13, 2024 |