Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 126.24 | $0.571 | $117.22 | +$45.13 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump visit China by May 15?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.840 | $67.2 | May 5, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 200 |
| $0.310 |
| $48.5 |
| -$13.5 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 99.99 | $0.490 | $46.5 | -$2.5 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 100 | $0.800 | $45.5 | -$34.5 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 499.99 | $0.040 | $43.75 | +$23.75 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1K | $0.026 | $24.5 | -$1.5 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 600 | $0.036 | $21.3 | -$0.3 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 200 | $0.180 | $14.3 | -$21.7 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 70 | $0.440 | $9.45 | -$21.35 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 100 | $0.057 | $6.55 | +$0.85 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.080 | $3.85 | -$4.15 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.120 | $3.85 | -$8.15 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 200 | $0.028 | $3.7 | -$1.9 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.150 | $0.67 | -$2.33 |
| sell |
| 190.9 |
| $0.978 |
| $186.7 |
| Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.770 | $77 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.220 | $11 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.840 | $84 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 29.13 | $0.968 | $28.2 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.120 | $12 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.982 | $29.46 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.310 | $62 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.180 | $36 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.036 | $21.6 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.026 | $26 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.824 | $16.48 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.220 | $20 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.620 | $20 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 25.61 | $0.820 | $21 | Dec 23, 2025 |