Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?Yes | buy | 6.9 | $0.290 | $2 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 10.64 |
| $0.150 |
| $1.6 |
| Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?Yes | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?No | sell | 26.31 | $0.580 | $15.26 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 US forces in Venezuela by December 31?Yes | buy | 57.14 | $0.140 | $8 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?Yes | sell | 11.62 | $0.931 | $10.82 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| US forces in Venezuela by December 31?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?No | buy | 26.32 | $0.380 | $10 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?Yes | sell | 47.61 | $0.340 | $16.19 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?Yes | buy | 11.63 | $0.430 | $5 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 35.71 | $0.073 | $2.61 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out EditionNo | sell | 15.62 | $0.190 | $2.97 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?Yes | sell | 71.77 | $0.150 | $10.77 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| US forces in Venezuela by December 31?Yes | sell | 26.31 | $0.170 | $4.47 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out EditionNo | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.220 | $10 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| US forces in Venezuela by December 31?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.200 | $3 | Sep 6, 2025 |
 Russia announces air truce by September 30?Yes | sell | 55.55 | $0.060 | $3.33 | Sep 6, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Sep 3, 2025 |
| Russia announces air truce by September 30?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.150 | $6 | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Russia announces air truce by August 31?Yes | sell | 29.22 | $0.015 | $0.44 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?Yes | sell | 104.16 | $0.017 | $1.77 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?Yes | sell | 7.7 | $0.430 | $3.31 | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?Yes | buy | 7.7 | $0.519 | $4 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 4PM ETDown | buy | 10.87 | $0.460 | $5 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 4PM ETDown | buy | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 3PM ETUp | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 2PM ETUp | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 2PM ETUp | buy | 6.25 | $0.480 | $3 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 2PM ETUp | buy | 4.08 | $0.490 | $2 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 1PM ETUp | sell | 4.41 | $0.990 | $4.37 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 1PM ETUp | buy | 4.41 | $0.680 | $3 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 1PM ETDown | sell | 15.75 | $0.380 | $5.99 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 1PM ETDown | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 1PM ETDown | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 12PM ETUp | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 9PM ETDown | sell | 8.57 | $0.999 | $8.56 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 9PM ETDown | buy | 8.57 | $0.350 | $3 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 8PM ETUp | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 7PM ETDown | sell | 2.22 | $0.900 | $2 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 7PM ETDown | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 7PM ETUp | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?No | buy | 36.61 | $0.027 | $1 | Aug 8, 2025 |