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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? | No | 77 | $0.940 | $75.19 | +$2.81 |
 Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No | sell | 22 | $0.510 | $11.22 | Feb 8, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 43 |
| $0.914 |
| $5.87 |
| -$33.43 |
| Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? | Yes | 0.22 | $0.072 | $0.19 | +$0.17 |
| sell |
| 49 |
| $0.510 |
| $24.99 |
| Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No | sell | 47 | $0.510 | $23.97 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No | buy | 118 | $0.450 | $53.1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Khatnie by December 31?No | sell | 65 | $0.945 | $61.43 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will Medline's market cap be between $55B and $65B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 91 | $0.580 | $52.78 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will Russia enter Khatnie by December 31?No | sell | 59 | $0.900 | $53.1 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 GPT ads by December 31?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.013 | $0.17 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| GPT ads by December 31?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.013 | $0.17 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| GPT ads by December 31?Yes | sell | 29 | $0.013 | $0.38 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| GPT ads by December 31?Yes | sell | 32 | $0.013 | $0.42 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?No | sell | 322 | $0.965 | $310.73 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 349 | $0.966 | $337.13 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Put Your Soul on Your Hand and Walk be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 108 | $0.600 | $64.8 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?No | sell | 171 | $0.880 | $150.48 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 8?No | sell | 97 | $0.001 | $0.1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?No | sell | 72 | $0.260 | $18.72 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?No | buy | 171 | $0.880 | $150.48 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 8?No | buy | 97 | $0.040 | $3.88 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will neither OP_CTV nor OP_CAT be activated in 2025?No | sell | 200 | $0.010 | $2 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will neither OP_CTV nor OP_CAT be activated in 2025?No | buy | 200 | $0.010 | $2 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike 2 countries in December 2025?No | sell | 161 | $0.490 | $78.89 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike 2 countries in December 2025?No | sell | 153 | $0.500 | $76.5 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike 2 countries in December 2025?No | buy | 314 | $0.490 | $153.86 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 110 | $0.610 | $67.1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 150 | $0.510 | $76.5 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?No | sell | 47 | $0.270 | $12.69 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Put Your Soul on Your Hand and Walk be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 10 | $0.550 | $5.5 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Russia enter Khatnie by December 31?No | sell | 248 | $0.850 | $210.8 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Russia enter Khatnie by December 31?No | buy | 372 | $0.840 | $312.48 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?No | buy | 43 | $0.914 | $39.3 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?No | sell | 329 | $0.410 | $134.89 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in November 2025?No | buy | 70 | $0.500 | $35 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?No | buy | 329 | $0.420 | $138.18 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike 1 country in 2026?No | sell | 196 | $0.840 | $164.64 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will "Jujutsu Kaisen: Execution" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 7m?No | buy | 71 | $0.988 | $70.15 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Amazon (AMZN) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?No | sell | 141 | $0.860 | $121.26 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?No | buy | 141 | $0.860 | $121.26 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?No | sell | 107 | $0.078 | $8.35 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2025?No | sell | 34 | $0.979 | $33.29 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?No | sell | 53 | $0.520 | $27.56 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Discord IPO in 2025?No | buy | 46 | $0.979 | $45.03 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | sell | 61 | $0.938 | $57.22 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?No | sell | 125 | $0.520 | $65 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?No | buy | 178 | $0.470 | $83.66 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Glean IPO in 2025?No | sell | 22 | $0.975 | $21.45 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?No | buy | 107 | $0.084 | $8.99 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike 1 country in 2026?No | sell | 9 | $0.850 | $7.65 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the San Antonio Spurs?No | sell | 130 | $0.810 | $105.3 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Julie Masino out as Cracker Barrel CEO in 2025?No | buy | 331 | $0.975 | $322.6 | Dec 4, 2025 |